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Prediction markets for Best Picture Oscar

[WAY TOO EARLY] Best Picture winner? (2027 Oscars)

Mar 11, 3:19 AMMar 14, 11:59 PM

226741

OptionProbability

Other

The Odyssey

Digger

Jack of Spades

Project Hail Mary

Fjord

The Christophers

Disclosure Day

Dune: Part Three

Her Private Hell

Social Reckoning

Narnia: The Magician's Nephew

Saturn Return

Toy Story 5

Avengers: Doomsday

Michael

The Devil Wears Prada 2

63

6

4

4

4

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2027 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2028)

Dec 29, 6:46 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

54.73%chance

301932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2090

1821

'One Battle After Another' wins Best Picture Oscar?

Jan 6, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

99%chance

131779

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1303

53

Will an AI-generated script win an Oscar for Best Original Screenplay by 2030?

Mar 8, 5:34 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

5.13%chance

171013

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1814

885

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2025 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2026)

Mar 11, 5:29 AMApr 1, 3:59 AM

93.91%chance

11743

OptionVotes

NO

YES

797

59

Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?

Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.35%chance

22616

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

808

Which party will win the 2028 presidential election? / Will prediction markets be legal in 2030?

Mar 18, 9:41 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM

5369

OptionProbability

Democrats/Yes

Republicans/Yes

Democrats/No

Republicans/No

48

21

19

12

Will Alexander Skarsgård win an Oscar for his acting before 2031?

May 29, 9:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.94%chance

8151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

254

91

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2026 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2027)

Mar 11, 5:29 AMApr 1, 3:59 AM

61%chance

589

OptionVotes

NO

YES

187

138

Will Focus Features win Best Picture before April 1st 2031? Currently they have the most Oscar nominations without a win

Dec 14, 4:07 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

80.11%chance

463

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

41

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