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Prediction markets for Beta

The first human to be declared “immortal” will be from which generation?

Dec 10, 9:08 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

372082

OptionProbability

Other

Zoomer

Alpha

Millennial

Gamma

Beta

67

9

9

6

5

4

Will neutrinoless double beta decay be observed before 2100?

Jul 12, 4:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.05%chance

81704

OptionVotes

NO

YES

173

159

Will David Schneider-Joseph's bet about Beta Amyloids and Alzheimer's end up true within 12 years?

Aug 17, 10:05 AMDec 31, 11:04 AM

47.29%chance

291208

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1240

898

Do amyloid-beta plaques cause Alzheimer's disease?

Feb 9, 1:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.46%chance

17656

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1097

561

Which eVTOL manufacturer will be first to achieve FAA certification?

Aug 10, 4:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9343

OptionProbability

Joby

Archer

Beta Technologies

Wisk

Removed - will resolve N/A

Other

Volocopter

42

18

14

12

6

6

1

Will Riot Games release their MMORPG fully or in open beta before the end of 2030?

Dec 17, 12:35 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

20.73%chance

7226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

22

Will Generation Beta (whatever they’re called) prefer Apple devices? 👶📱🗓️

Mar 19, 1:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

45.99%chance

8176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

259

176

When will Star Citizen enter Beta?

May 22, 5:54 AMJan 1, 12:01 AM

6146

OptionProbability

Other

2027-12

2030-05

2025-05

52

28

20

1

If humanity survives this century, what beta will we retroactively assign to our survival at the 1st Jan 2024

Jun 13, 11:38 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

17%chance

3122

OptionProbability

NO

YES

285

169

Will I be prescribed beta blockers by the end of 2035?

Feb 1, 2:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55%chance

330

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

If Alex Zhu were to get a qEEG, would his midline Fz be dominated by beta rather than theta/delta?

Sep 28, 5:18 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

If Alex Zhu were to get qEEG, would his z-score for Fz low-beta power be higher than his z-score for Fz theta power?

Sep 24, 7:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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