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BETA Reasoning News
Prediction markets for BETA Reasoning
Prediction markets for BETA Reasoning
Will Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?
Mar 2, 8:16 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
33%
chance
46
7941
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1122
366
By 2030, will any treatment be shown to increase human lifespan in a randomized controlled trial?
Dec 7, 5:21 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
48
5266
Option
Probability
No
Yes
64
36
Will Portland have fully self-driving taxis by the end of 2025?
Dec 16, 12:29 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
7.85%
chance
45
3123
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3073
571
Will JEPA models become mainstream by the end of 2025?
Aug 24, 4:55 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
9.71%
chance
21
3084
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2154
787
Gflownet becomes mainstream by the end of 2025
Aug 24, 4:59 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
11.53%
chance
16
1345
Option
Votes
YES
NO
524
122
At end of 2025, one of the top five software engineering AIs will be exclusively used by 100 or fewer tech companies
Feb 6, 3:31 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
26.4%
chance
7
1077
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1670
599
Will I be able to purchase a house robot by the end of 2026?
Mar 13, 4:00 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
22.38%
chance
14
303
Option
Votes
YES
NO
186
54
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