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BETA Reasoning News
Prediction markets for BETA Reasoning
Prediction markets for BETA Reasoning
Will Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?
Mar 2, 8:16 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
26%
chance
72
16343
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1071
490
By 2030, will any treatment be shown to increase human lifespan in a randomized controlled trial?
Dec 7, 5:21 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
48
5266
Option
Probability
No
Yes
64
36
Will there be a publicly available AI with Anthropic Mythos-level capabilities before 2027?
Apr 15, 5:03 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
96.3%
chance
23
1152
Option
Votes
NO
YES
510
20
Will I be able to purchase a house robot by the end of 2026?
Mar 13, 4:00 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
34.75%
chance
20
456
Option
Votes
YES
NO
137
73
Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026?
Oct 29, 1:25 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
45.25%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
110
91
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