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Prediction markets for Bidding

When will Joe Biden die?

Oct 15, 12:32 PMNov 11, 10:00 PM

33674835

OptionProbability

2030 or later

2027-2029

2026

Nov 6, 2024 to 2025

Before 2024

Before the 2024 US presidential election

In 2024, but after the US presidential election

51

29

10

9

1

0

0

Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece?

Feb 13, 7:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.23%chance

17942920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22636

7479

Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?

Jul 27, 7:08 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

52.5%chance

12229978

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1019

947

Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?

Mar 31, 9:14 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

15.22%chance

14624745

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9509

5616

What is the optimal "Bid per redeem" (in MANA)?

May 24, 2:59 PMMay 25, 3:59 AM

109691

OptionProbability

NO

YES

109

103

How serious will Cuomo’s general election run be?

Jun 27, 5:27 PMNov 4, 6:27 PM

244013

OptionProbability

Cuomo announces an official bid

Cuomo appears on ballot

Cuomo hosts a campaign rally

Cuomo appears in a debate

Cuomo and allies spend >$25M

Cuomo rides the subway

Cuomo visits a mosque

Cuomo releases another 15+ minute campaign video

Cuomo attends a mayoral forum

Cuomo eats B.E.C. (bacon optional) on camera

100

94

58

51

50

50

49

46

31

26

What organization will win the bid to operate Fermilab?

Jan 27, 3:51 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

643

OptionProbability

Fermi Research Alliance

Associated Universities, Inc.

Other

62

21

17

Will an African nation successfully win the bid process to host a Summer/Winter Olympics before EOY 2035?

Dec 3, 9:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.54%chance

527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

104

Conditional on a winning bid, will BP complete the mona Morgan windfarm within ten years?

Aug 24, 12:42 PMAug 24, 11:59 PM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

how many bids will DIU receive for the Project G.I. solicitation?

Jun 20, 7:38 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

110

OptionProbability

Less than 401

401-501

502-601

602-701

702-801

Over 801

17

17

17

17

17

17

🆒CoolFold Charity: All-Pay Auction 2024 - Fortune Cookie Edition (HIGHEST BID - M250)

Jan 5, 6:58 PM

00

Which studio (if any) will successfully bid for, pick up, and release Coyote Vs. Acme?

Dec 18, 11:45 PM

30

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