Bidding News

When will Joe Biden die?

Oct 15, 12:32 PMNov 11, 10:00 PM

361118050

OptionProbability

2030 or later

2027-2029

2026

Before 2024

Before the 2024 US presidential election

In 2024, but after the US presidential election

Nov 6, 2024 to 2025

Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?

Oct 9, 2:04 AMJan 16, 4:59 AM

36.05%chance

30393559

OptionVotes

YES

1332

751

Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece?

Feb 13, 7:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.8%chance

18649182

OptionVotes

YES

18956

8175

Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029 (noon ET)?

Nov 16, 5:04 AMJan 21, 5:01 AM

60%chance

20738163

OptionVotes

YES

2022

2006

Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?

Mar 31, 9:14 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

16.59%chance

14725584

OptionVotes

YES

8788

5752

What is the optimal "Bid per redeem" (in MANA)?

May 24, 2:59 PMMay 25, 3:59 AM

109691

OptionProbability

YES

109

103

What would be true about the next official auction done on Manifold?

Mar 21, 2:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2132

OptionProbability

The winner of the auction has a net worth of over 20k Mana

Over 10 users who have placed a bid on the auction

The auction winner would pay over 10000 mana to win the auction

The winner of the auction has a net worth of over 100k Mana

The auction winner would pay over 50000 mana to win the auction

Over 20 users who have placed a bid on the auction

It would have a physical auction prize

It would be a second price auction

It would be for the right to have stream/market featured on Manifold TV

Will an African nation successfully win the bid process to host a Summer/Winter Olympics before EOY 2035?

Dec 3, 9:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.54%chance

527

OptionVotes

YES

116

104

Conditional on a winning bid, will BP complete the mona Morgan windfarm within ten years?

Aug 24, 12:42 PMAug 24, 11:59 PM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

how many bids will DIU receive for the Project G.I. solicitation?

Jun 20, 7:38 PMMar 1, 5:59 AM

110

OptionProbability

602-701

Less than 401

401-501

502-601

702-801

Over 801

🆒CoolFold Charity: All-Pay Auction 2024 - Fortune Cookie Edition (HIGHEST BID - M250)

Jan 5, 6:58 PM

Which studio (if any) will successfully bid for, pick up, and release Coyote Vs. Acme?

Dec 18, 11:45 PM

Bidding News

Prediction markets for Bidding

Prediction markets for Bidding

Prediction markets for Bidding

When will Joe Biden die?

Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?

Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece?

Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029 (noon ET)?

Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?

What is the optimal "Bid per redeem" (in MANA)?

What would be true about the next official auction done on Manifold?

Will an African nation successfully win the bid process to host a Summer/Winter Olympics before EOY 2035?

~~Conditional on a winning bid,~~ will BP complete the mona Morgan windfarm within ten years?

how many bids will DIU receive for the Project G.I. solicitation?

🆒CoolFold Charity: All-Pay Auction 2024 - Fortune Cookie Edition (HIGHEST BID - M250)

Which studio (if any) will successfully bid for, pick up, and release Coyote Vs. Acme?

Latest stories

Conditional on a winning bid, will BP complete the mona Morgan windfarm within ten years?