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Top stories

US Revokes Intel and Samsung China Waivers, Extends Some Tariff Exemptions

US Revokes Intel and Samsung China Waivers, Extends Some Tariff Exemptions

Authors

28

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Biden

When will Joe Biden die?

Oct 15, 12:32 PMNov 11, 10:00 PM

421187212

OptionProbability

2030 or later

2027-2029

2026

Before 2024

Before the 2024 US presidential election

In 2024, but after the US presidential election

Nov 6, 2024 to 2025

58

41

1

0

0

0

0

Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?

Jul 4, 7:02 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

1%chance

64117559

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111094

6240

Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?

Oct 9, 2:04 AMJan 16, 4:59 AM

33.87%chance

343116349

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1398

716

Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029 (noon ET)?

Nov 16, 5:04 AMJan 21, 5:01 AM

56%chance

24064684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2142

1833

Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece?

Feb 13, 7:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.26%chance

18954821

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21432

7687

Will Joe Biden die before Donald Trump?

Feb 3, 2:46 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

72.82%chance

20050595

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1486

726

Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?

Mar 31, 9:14 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

18.13%chance

14927430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8092

5898

Biden ranked below Carter in next C-SPAN Presidential Historians Survey

Dec 3, 5:59 PMJul 11, 11:00 PM

36.3%chance

7320092

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1327

756

Will Hunter Biden serve time in jail/prison?

Jul 13, 5:05 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.29%chance

4017070

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3152

607

Joe Biden Stock (Permanent)

Nov 12, 11:07 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

8516328

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1604

1134

Will Putin outlive Biden?

Jun 28, 4:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

86.04%chance

14415013

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3689

947

Will Joe Biden be alive on the day a human next steps on the moon?

Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.09%chance

372581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2935

1403

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