OptionProbability
Russia
USA
Other
Indonesia
Japan
Peru
Mexico
your mom
India
Iran
Chili
China
Afghanistan
Canada
72
9
5
3
2
1
0
2040 or after
2035-2039
2030-2034
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
60
11
10
4
The signal has natural extraterrestrial origins
The signal has a bandwidth narrower than 10 kHz
The signal has artificial terrestrial origins
Signal has detectable modulation
The signal has a bandwidth wider than 10 kHz
Signal contains an encoded message
The signal has natural terrestrial origins
The signal uses a frequency in the waterhole region (1420 - 1662 MHz)
The signal has a frequency higher than 1662 MHz
Signal is detected by at least 3 different observatories
The signal has artificial extraterrestrial origins
The signal has a frequency lower than 1420 MHz
Signal contains an encoded message that uses the hashtag “#ChasingUFOs”
79
57
52
46
44
43
38
35
34
22
16
12
Over 10^18 Big Macs
10^12-10^15 Big Macs
0 Big Macs
10^15-10^18 Big Macs
1-10^9 Big Macs
10^9- 10^12 Big Macs
28
19
18
8
