Big Four News

Will ChatGPT be able to consistently create images of a centaur by the end of 2025?

Aug 24, 8:58 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

314006

OptionProbability

Prompts like “draw a centaur”

Prompts with a style, like “draw a centaur, ink brush painting” will work

Prompts with a person, like “draw a centaur that resembles Jimmy Carter” will work

Any prompt that includes the word “centaur” will work

Will the 'big' treasure chest from There's Treasure Inside be announced as found before the end of 2025?

Dec 20, 12:48 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

5.1%chance

33572

OptionVotes

YES

4316

232

In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the PhysBench leaderboard?

Jul 4, 6:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 PM

131937

OptionProbability

2027-2028

2025-2026

2029-2030

2039-2040

2031-2032

2033-2034

2035-2036

2037-2038

Which positive news will make 2025 world-wide headlines?

Jan 4, 4:58 PMJan 11, 10:59 PM

161278

OptionProbability

Geopolitics

Technology

Medical/Healthcare

Economy

Fundamental research

Space Exploration

Environment and sustainability

Art and culture

Human Rights

Society

Disaster Relief / Humanitarian Aid

Will POWDR announce the sale of a ski area to Vail, Alterra, Mountain Capital Partners, or Boyne by summer 2026?

Aug 23, 2:42 AMSep 27, 3:59 AM

56%chance

4612

OptionVotes

YES

113

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

59.88%chance

19407

OptionVotes

YES

1081

928

Will one of the Big Four airlines go bankrupt, be acquired, or cease operations before EOY 2026?

Dec 24, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.34%chance

13351

OptionVotes

YES

299

139

Big Four News

Prediction markets for Big Four

Prediction markets for Big Four

Prediction markets for Big Four

Will ChatGPT be able to consistently create images of a centaur by the end of 2025?

Will the 'big' treasure chest from There's Treasure Inside be announced as found before the end of 2025?

In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the PhysBench leaderboard?

Which positive news will make 2025 world-wide headlines?

Will POWDR announce the sale of a ski area to Vail, Alterra, Mountain Capital Partners, or Boyne by summer 2026?

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Will one of the Big Four airlines go bankrupt, be acquired, or cease operations before EOY 2026?

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