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Prediction markets for Big Money

Will I talk with a whale by 2027? 🐳

Sep 28, 10:01 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.22%chance

8414569

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1558

927

Which February 2026 Nasdaq-100 rule changes will take effect before 2027?

Feb 26, 3:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36680

OptionProbability

Fast Entry for large new listings

Use of full market cap (including unlisted share classes) for eligibility ranking

Top-125 replacement rule

5× low-free-float weighting multiplier

Removal of the 10% minimum free float requirement

Quarterly-only share updates

77

72

72

70

70

70

Will there be an 18 year old [or younger] self-made billionaire (in 2023 dollars) by 2030?

Sep 13, 8:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.02%chance

695627

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2783

1747

Will I be radicalized against taxes by having a job?

Oct 16, 7:42 PMOct 16, 7:32 PM

21.12%chance

524773

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1932

517

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

55.66%chance

394057

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1067

932

Will I eventually make USACO Camp

Oct 26, 10:14 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

23%chance

233389

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1830

547

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.79%chance

141630

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1809

1260

will my taiwanese grandma (86) pass away before china invades taiwan?

Feb 26, 12:46 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

62.33%chance

6535

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1286

777

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2035?

Jun 9, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53%chance

695

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

94

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2040?

Jun 9, 5:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

688

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2045?

Jun 9, 5:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.28%chance

568

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2075?

Jun 10, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

325

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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