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Prediction markets for Billionaires List

Will there be a trillionaire by the end of 2026?

Dec 20, 11:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75%chance

10426710

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1734

578

Will Elon Musk be worth $1T by the end of 2026?

Jan 11, 6:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.42%chance

5614212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1407

711

Who will be the world's first trillionaire?

Nov 19, 5:37 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7611466

OptionProbability

Elon Musk

Other

Larry Ellison

Jeff Bezos

Sam Altman

Donald Trump

Mark Zuckerburg

Demis Hassabis

Jensen Huang

Bill Gates

Sam Bankman-Fried

Bernard Arnault

Vladimir Putin

Austin Chen

Dario Amodei

Vitalik Buterin

Peter Thiel

Paul Graham

Michael Saylor

Satoshi Nakamoto

73

17

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Elon Musk be the world's wealthiest person on January 1, 2027?

Jan 4, 9:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.79%chance

359217

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2363

424

Will the world see a trillionaire before the year 2035?

Feb 25, 11:43 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

83.28%chance

321930

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1947

659

Will the richest person in the world have a net worth over 1 Trillion USD at any point in 2030?

Feb 19, 11:51 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

61.46%chance

421925

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1454

415

Will Sam Altman be ranked among the top 20 richest people alive by Forbes in 2040?

Feb 28, 8:35 AMMar 2, 2:59 AM

46.3%chance

261903

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1237

369

Will SBF have an estimated net worth >= $1B in 2030?

Nov 17, 9:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.05%chance

271753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1421

871

Will Mark Zuckerberg ever become the richest person in the world?

Feb 4, 8:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

31.6%chance

20818

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1241

837

Liang Wenfeng in Forbes' Top 10 Billionaires List by December 31, 2035

Jan 26, 6:03 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

20.57%chance

6393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

197

51

Will Forbes put Satoshi Nakamoto on The World's Billionaires list by 2030?

Jan 12, 5:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.98%chance

15250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1152

946

Will Taylor Swift be worth $10B or more at the end of 2032?

Apr 7, 11:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.86%chance

12235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1130

928

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