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Prediction markets for Billionaires List

Will Elon Musk be the world's wealthiest person on January 1, 2027?

Jan 4, 9:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94.31%chance

4412320

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3226

64

Will SBF have an estimated net worth >= $1B in 2030?

Nov 17, 9:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.49%chance

292803

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2471

788

Will the richest person in the world have a net worth over 1 Trillion USD at any point in 2030?

Feb 19, 11:51 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

74.66%chance

442235

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1762

272

Will there be a trillionaire not named Elon Musk by end of 2027?

Jun 12, 6:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.9%chance

152050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2489

402

Will Sam Altman be ranked among the top 20 richest people alive by Forbes in 2040?

Feb 28, 8:35 AMMar 2, 2:59 AM

46.3%chance

261903

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1237

369

Will Mark Zuckerberg ever become the richest person in the world?

Feb 4, 8:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

31.92%chance

22823

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

842

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $5 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2033?

Feb 3, 8:54 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

25%chance

18408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Liang Wenfeng in Forbes' Top 10 Billionaires List by December 31, 2035

Jan 26, 6:03 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

20.57%chance

6393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

197

51

Will Elon Musk be worth more than FY2026 DOD funding on Dec. 31 2026?

Dec 24, 6:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.68%chance

8289

OptionVotes

NO

YES

211

47

Will Forbes put Satoshi Nakamoto on The World's Billionaires list by 2030?

Jan 12, 5:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.98%chance

15250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1152

946

Will Taylor Swift be worth $10B or more at the end of 2032?

Apr 7, 11:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.86%chance

12235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1130

928

When Will Bill Gates Net Worth Be Less Than 6% of Elon Per Forbes

Mar 15, 5:46 PMMar 15, 5:41 PM

2176

OptionProbability

by dec 31 2026

2029 or later

By Dec 31 2028

By Dec 31 2027

74

14

7

6

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