BIP News

Will there be 1 million bipedal robots by 2033?

Jun 30, 1:56 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

67%chance

512958

OptionVotes

YES

1310

757

Bitcoin merges Drivechain (BIP300/301) before 2028?

Nov 17, 4:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.39%chance

41240

OptionVotes

YES

1240

806

Will there be 1 billion bipedal robots by the end of 2048?

Jun 30, 4:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.17%chance

201159

OptionVotes

YES

1054

948

By the year 2040, will the US military integrate a bipedal humanoid robot, similar to Boston Dynamics' Atlas, into its arsenal?

Feb 24, 1:29 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

73.63%chance

39981

OptionVotes

YES

1295

850

Will a bipedal robot run a marathon in under 3 hours before a human runs a marathon in under 2 hours

Apr 2, 7:40 PMApr 10, 3:59 AM

30.09%chance

10701

OptionVotes

YES

271

186

In what year will a bipedal robot break the human marathon world record time?

Mar 10, 4:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10675

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2028

Other

2029

2030

2031

2025

In what year will a bipedal robot break the human mile world record time?

Mar 10, 4:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18622

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2026

Other

2029

2030

2025

Which frequency standard will the SI second be defined from, per BIPM, on 01/01/2034?

Aug 1, 10:41 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

4323

OptionProbability

The cesium 133 F=3 <-> F=4 hyperfine microwave transition (no change)

Any system based on weighted averages of uncertainty or timekeeping contributions

The strontium 87 1S0 <-> 3P0 optical transition

The ytterbium 171 1S0 <-> 3P0 optical transition

Any other optical transition in ions

Any other optical transition in neutral atoms

The thorium 229 metastable nuclear optical transition (any realization)

How many colours are needed to colour biplanar graphs?

Feb 7, 8:28 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

62.02%chance

463

OptionProbability

YES

329

275

Are people with bipolar disorder funnier?

Oct 12, 4:52 PM

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Prediction markets for BIP

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Will there be 1 million bipedal robots by 2033?

Bitcoin merges Drivechain (BIP300/301) before 2028?

Will there be 1 billion bipedal robots by the end of 2048?

By the year 2040, will the US military integrate a bipedal humanoid robot, similar to Boston Dynamics' Atlas, into its arsenal?

Will a bipedal robot run a marathon in under 3 hours before a human runs a marathon in under 2 hours

In what year will a bipedal robot break the human marathon world record time?

In what year will a bipedal robot break the human mile world record time?

Which frequency standard will the SI second be defined from, per BIPM, on 01/01/2034?

How many colours are needed to colour biplanar graphs?

Are people with bipolar disorder funnier?

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