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Prediction markets for Birthright Citizenship

Will courts overturn Trump’s executive order on birthright citizenship?

Jan 25, 6:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.54%chance

6313376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3094

323

SCOTUS rules Trump's birthright citizenship executive order unconstitutional (fully or partly) by Sept 1st 2025

Jan 21, 3:58 PMAug 30, 12:00 AM

808314

OptionProbability

Fully Unconstitutional

Partly Unconstitutional

Constitutional

71

26

3

How many Supreme Court justices will vote that Trump's birthright citizenship executive order is unconstitutional?

Jan 21, 11:11 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

717875

OptionProbability

4 or fewer

8

7

9

6

5

25

22

22

17

7

6

Will birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term?

Nov 7, 11:10 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

25%chance

396772

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1732

577

Will Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO be declared unconstitutional by the Supreme Court before 2029?

Jan 21, 3:54 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

78%chance

485031

OptionVotes

NO

YES

188

53

Will birthright citizenship stop being available in the USA before 2028?

Aug 27, 5:41 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.96%chance

231765

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

422

Will Trump succeed in revoking the citizenship of any birthright US citizen?

Jul 13, 3:36 PMJan 10, 7:59 AM

27.56%chance

131064

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1621

617

Will birthright citizenship stop being available in the USA before 2035?

Aug 27, 5:41 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15%chance

22979

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

648

Will the children of undocumented immigrants still be eligible for birthright U.S. citizenship before 2030?

Nov 13, 11:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

73.54%chance

12797

OptionVotes

NO

YES

169

155

Will birthright citizenship stop being available in the USA before 2050?

Aug 27, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

22.71%chance

7385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

106

Will there be any children born in 2025 in the US, that do not receive the option of birthright citizenship?

Jan 21, 7:49 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.82%chance

8173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

93

UK abolishes birthright citizenship for children of non-settled parents before EOY2030?

Jul 22, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.79%chance

354

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

78

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