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Prediction markets for Birthright Citizenship

How many Supreme Court justices will vote that Trump's birthright citizenship executive order is unconstitutional?

Jan 21, 11:11 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

9316606

OptionProbability

4 or fewer

6

5

9

7

8

24

19

17

16

14

10

Will courts overturn Trump’s executive order on birthright citizenship?

Jan 25, 6:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.84%chance

6714099

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2278

439

Will birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term?

Nov 7, 11:10 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

33.6%chance

487848

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1406

711

Will Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO be declared unconstitutional by the Supreme Court before 2029?

Jan 21, 3:54 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

85.24%chance

586090

OptionVotes

NO

YES

240

42

Will birthright citizenship stop being available in the USA before 2028?

Aug 27, 5:41 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.96%chance

231765

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

422

Will the US Constitution be amended to revoke Birthright Citizenship before 2040?

Jun 28, 12:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.53%chance

241296

OptionVotes

NO

YES

994

550

Will Trump succeed in revoking the citizenship of any birthright US citizen?

Jul 13, 3:36 PMJan 10, 7:59 AM

29.32%chance

181279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1553

644

Will birthright citizenship stop being available in the USA before 2035?

Aug 27, 5:41 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15%chance

241032

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

648

Will there be any children born in 2025 in the US, that do not receive the option of birthright citizenship?

Jan 21, 7:49 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.69%chance

9616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

407

25

Will birthright citizenship stop being available in the USA before 2050?

Aug 27, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

22.71%chance

7385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

106

Puerto Ricans lose birthright citizenship during Trump II

Oct 2, 1:37 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

13.79%chance

5310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

250

40

UK abolishes birthright citizenship for children of non-settled parents before EOY2030?

Jul 22, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.61%chance

464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

88

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