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Prediction markets for Block

Twitter / x.com blocked in the EU or Europe? Multimarket for dates

Mar 9, 5:13 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

155692

OptionProbability

July 1 2033

July 1 2034

July 1 2032

July 1 2035

July 1 2036

July 1 2037

July 1 2038

July 1 2039

July 1 2040

Jan 1 2031

July 1 2031

Jan 1 2029

July 1 2029

Jan 1 2030

July 1 2030

Jan 1 2028

July 1 2028

July 1 2027

April 1 2027

Jan 1 2027

Oct 1 2026

July 1 2026

July 1 2025

Oct 1 2025

Jan 1 2026

April 1 2026

56

56

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

49

49

48

48

48

48

45

45

42

41

17

13

5

0

0

0

0

Will Bitcoin experience "mining gaps" before the first 365-day period where transaction fees are >1/2 of total block rewards?

Dec 18, 9:07 AMMar 3, 4:59 AM

13.48%chance

172458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1266

918

Will any country block themselves from the internet before 2027?

Oct 16, 1:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

86.55%chance

162025

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2439

434

Will a social network be blocked in Brazil in 2026?

Mar 14, 2:50 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

72.1%chance

161607

OptionVotes

NO

YES

161

62

Purchased Kindle eBooks censored or blocked before 2030.

Jun 18, 7:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

67.44%chance

231465

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1439

695

Will GMail get blocked in Russia by the end of 2026

Jun 1, 8:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.17%chance

71135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2066

834

Will Trump's attempt to run for the 3rd term be blocked by court(s)?

Mar 25, 8:40 AMJan 21, 12:59 AM

13.95%chance

10261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

84

Will Joshua Block die before 2030?

Apr 7, 2:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.95%chance

7214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

194

51

Will the EU regulate geo-blocking of copyright protected content by EOY 2027?

Feb 26, 8:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

51.79%chance

12108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1007

992

Will the US mandate all new car windows block UV-A by 2030?

Jul 14, 8:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.39%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

912

Will part of the agreed ceasefire deal between Russia and Ukraine involve a minimum 20 year block on joining NATO or EU?

Nov 10, 4:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.02%chance

547

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

Will the CCP block the release of an LLM from a Chinese lab prior to 2028

Jun 27, 7:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.6%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

985

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