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Prediction markets for Blue Moon

Best Actor nominees? (2026 Oscars)

Oct 6, 6:18 PMJan 21, 11:59 PM

2429795

OptionProbability

Leonardo DiCaprio - One Battle After Another

Timothée Chalamet - Marty Supreme

Wagner Moura - The Secret Agent

Michael B. Jordan - Sinners

Ethan Hawke - Blue Moon

Joel Edgarton - Train Dreams

Jesse Plemons - Bugonia

Dwayne Johnson - The Smashing Machine

George Clooney - Jay Kelly

Jeremy Allen White - Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

Paul Mescal - The History of Sound

Daniel Day-Lewis - Anemone

94

93

84

71

61

40

21

20

18

15

14

10

Will Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does?

May 19, 6:02 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

16.59%chance

539599

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2120

204

Will Firefly Aerospace's Blue Ghost M2 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 11, 10:33 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

91.79%chance

131777

OptionVotes

NO

YES

420

36

Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?

Feb 12, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.75%chance

161751

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1869

535

Which crewed vehicle will be next to land humans on the Moon?

Jun 20, 2:51 AMDec 31, 2:47 AM

131657

OptionProbability

Lanyue

Starship HLS

Other

Blue Moon Mk 2 HLS

Blue Moon Mk 1 HLS

51

32

7

5

5

When will Tsukihime -A piece of blue glass moon- be released for Windows?

Feb 11, 5:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9593

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027 or later, or never

2024

68

18

13

1

Which Artemis HLS system will land on the Moon

Feb 25, 11:49 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

11556

OptionProbability

Starship HLS

Blue Moon

Dynetics HLS

75

57

13

Will Blue Moon land people on the moon before Starship HLS ?

May 30, 2:59 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

34%chance

5256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

66

62

Will Blue Origin beat SpaceX to land safely on the moon?

Jul 5, 5:03 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

85.05%chance

7189

OptionVotes

NO

YES

239

42

Artemis 3 Multichoice

Jun 20, 4:35 AMJun 27, 4:26 AM

797

OptionProbability

Artemis 3 doesn't involve lunar landing

Artemis 3 uses Starship HLS

Artemis 3 uses Blue Moon HLS

Artemis 3 cancelled

37

32

24

7

When will Blue Moon HLS make a successful uncrewed landing on the Moon?

Jun 20, 4:08 AMDec 31, 3:50 AM

125

OptionProbability

Q3 2030

Q4 2030

Other

Q2 2030

Q1 2030

Q1 2027

Q2 2027

Q3 2027

Q4 2027

Q1 2028

Q2 2028

Q3 2028

Q4 2028

Q1 2029

Q2 2029

Q3 2029

Q4 2029

Blue Moon HLS Cancelled

13

13

13

11

10

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 16, 2:47 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

65.98%chance

224

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

73

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