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Prediction markets for Board of Governors

Will Jerome Powell leave his role before the end of his term?

Nov 7, 9:00 PMMay 16, 6:59 AM

16.44%chance

4912724

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2255

444

Will Jerome Powell be appointed to a third term as Chair of the Federal Reserve?

Aug 19, 10:00 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

2.15%chance

18914

OptionVotes

YES

NO

675

15

Zohran Mamdani wins NYC Mayoral general election mandate (50%)?

Jul 12, 2:59 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

49.73%chance

15850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

995

Will Jay Powell still be chair of the Federal Reserve on January 20th, 2026?

Apr 23, 5:49 AMJan 21, 11:59 PM

84.07%chance

12561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

230

44

Who will be nominated to fill the FOMC seat vacated by Adriana Kugler?

Aug 2, 3:58 PMAug 2, 3:55 PM

3269

OptionProbability

Other

Kevin Hassett

Kevin Warsh

Scott Bessent

Judy Shelton

Randal Quarles

36

22

17

11

9

5

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