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Prediction markets for Bost

Which Boston restaurant(s) will get at least 1 Michelin Star by the end of March 2026?

May 14, 8:05 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

135025

OptionProbability

311 omakase

Ostra

O Ya

Deuxave

Nightshade Noodle Bar

Wa Shin

Astra

Celeste

Giulia

Kaia

Mahaniyom

Brassica Kitchen + Cafe

Oleana

Urban Hearth

Sarma

99

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will Eliud Kipchoge ever win the NYC or Boston marathon?

May 7, 1:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.79%chance

103560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2072

353

Will Bostrom's "Superintelligence" exceed its current popularity peak before 2028?

Sep 20, 9:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.21%chance

291941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1253

928

By the year 2040, will the US military integrate a bipedal humanoid robot, similar to Boston Dynamics' Atlas, into its arsenal?

Feb 24, 1:29 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

73.63%chance

39981

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1295

850

Will 10% of Boston city die in any year from disaster, before 2035?

Jun 3, 3:18 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

2.27%chance

12961

OptionVotes

YES

NO

881

83

Will Nick Bostrom create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Feb 4, 12:20 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.65%chance

15419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

949

Will Pope Leo XIV cite in his text Nick Bostrom before 2028?

May 16, 7:17 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

15.69%chance

6238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

232

43

Will AI cause an existential catastrophe (Bostrom or Ord definition) which doesn't result in human extinction?

Nov 11, 7:35 AMNov 18, 7:59 AM

25%chance

559

OptionVotes

YES

NO

184

101

Will Boston have a year warmer than 56F by 2030?

Apr 18, 11:09 PMJan 1, 9:01 AM

65.39%chance

240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

140

Will MBTA trains on the Boston red line finally have PM2.5 levels lower than 10 ug/m^3 (like BART trains) by EOY 2027?

Jan 22, 11:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.27%chance

118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

56

45

Will Boston-based bluebikes start equipping mirrors for rear view by EOY2027?

Apr 22, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will the Boston silver line from airport ever stop being free by 2035

Jul 31, 9:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.64%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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