Bost News

Boston Bruins (NHL)

Oct 27, 9:32 AMApr 20, 9:20 PM

1011833

OptionProbability

David Pastrnak finish as leading goal scorer for the Bruins in 2024-25

Cole Koepke plays 35 games with Bruins in 2024-25

Mark Kastelic plays 50+ games with Bruins in 2024-25

Bruins 10+ overtime losses in 2024-25

Bruins in Stanley Cup series by 2030

Bruins change logo by 2040

David Pastrnak 50+ goals AND 100 points in 2024-25

David Pastrnak 10+ power play goals in 2024-25

Charlie McAvoy 12+ goals in 2024-25

Charlie McAvoy 40+ assists in 2024-25

Brad Marchand 70+ points in 2024-25

Brad Marchand 60+ penalty minutes in 2024-25

Hampus Lindholm 70+ games plays with Bruins in 2024-25

Elias Lindholm finish as a point per game player in 2024-25

Bruins finish 2024-25 with 100 points

Bruins make it to 2024-25 Conference Finals (round 3 of NHL playoffs)

100

Will Eliud Kipchoge ever win the NYC or Boston marathon?

May 7, 1:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.79%chance

103560

OptionVotes

YES

2072

353

Will Bostrom's "Superintelligence" exceed its current popularity peak before 2028?

Sep 20, 9:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.21%chance

291941

OptionVotes

YES

1253

928

Will Nick Bostrom (philosopher, existential risk researcher) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 12, 11:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.88%chance

281650

OptionVotes

YES

1445

946

By the year 2040, will the US military integrate a bipedal humanoid robot, similar to Boston Dynamics' Atlas, into its arsenal?

Feb 24, 1:29 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

73.63%chance

39981

OptionVotes

YES

1295

850

Will 10% of Boston city die in any year from disaster, before 2035?

Jun 3, 3:18 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

2.27%chance

12961

OptionVotes

YES

881

Will Nick Bostrom create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Feb 4, 12:20 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.27%chance

14414

OptionVotes

YES

1174

944

Will Boston have a 3 Michelin Star restaurant by the end of 2026?

May 14, 8:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.28%chance

4145

OptionVotes

YES

245

Will "mass surveillance" in the United States happen by 2035? (cf Nick Bostrom)

Mar 14, 8:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.66%chance

571

OptionVotes

YES

153

145

Will AI cause an existential catastrophe (Bostrom or Ord definition) which doesn't result in human extinction?

Nov 11, 7:35 AMNov 18, 7:59 AM

25%chance

559

OptionVotes

YES

184

101

Will Boston-based bluebikes start equipping mirrors for rear view by EOY2027?

Apr 22, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

Will the Boston silver line from airport ever stop being free by 2035

Jul 31, 9:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.64%chance

OptionVotes

YES

105

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Boston Bruins (NHL)

Will Eliud Kipchoge ever win the NYC or Boston marathon?

Will Bostrom's "Superintelligence" exceed its current popularity peak before 2028?

Will Nick Bostrom (philosopher, existential risk researcher) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

By the year 2040, will the US military integrate a bipedal humanoid robot, similar to Boston Dynamics' Atlas, into its arsenal?

Will 10% of Boston city die in any year from disaster, before 2035?

Will Nick Bostrom create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Boston have a 3 Michelin Star restaurant by the end of 2026?

Will "mass surveillance" in the United States happen by 2035? (cf Nick Bostrom)

Will AI cause an existential catastrophe (Bostrom or Ord definition) which doesn't result in human extinction?

Will Boston-based bluebikes start equipping mirrors for rear view by EOY2027?

Will the Boston silver line from airport ever stop being free by 2035

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