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Bougainville News

Will Bougainville be a country by end of 2027? [Showcase: M$10,000 subsidy]

Jan 22, 5:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44.76%chance

10518956

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15777

4360

Which country will be the next to become an official member state of the United Nations?

Apr 24, 7:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

352257

OptionProbability

Bougainville

Somaliland

Other

Kosovo

Sovereign State of the Bektashi Order

Kurdistan

Palestine

Taiwan

East African Federation

Greenland

Scotland

Catalonia

Holy See / Vatican City

Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic

Transnistria

31

18

10

9

7

6

5

5

5

2

2

1

0

0

0

What countries will join the UN before 2030

Apr 2, 5:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

261678

OptionProbability

Bougainville

Somaliland

Palestine

Kosovo

Scotland

Sovereign State of the Bektashi Order

Chechnya (Ichkeriya, Nokhchiicho)

Transnistria

Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus

Siberia

Sakha (Yakutia)

Catalonia

ROC (Taiwan)

Western Sahara

62

62

43

35

28

28

26

24

21

21

21

20

18

13

What will be the next UN Member state?

Jul 2, 12:54 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

301344

OptionProbability

No new members

Bougainville

Somaliland

Palestine

Other

New Caledonia

Sovereign State of the Bektashi Order

Quebec

Kosovo

Scotland

East African Federation

Siberia

Tatarstan

Western Sahara

Catalonia

Puerto Rico

Taiwan

Abkhazia

Northern Cyprus

Wales

Northern Ireland

South Ossetia

Transnistria

Nagorno-Karabakh

Crimea

Basque Country

Russia

Korea

Vatican City

Greenland

34

28

15

8

6

3

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

From what continent will the next assassinated head of state and/or government come from?

Jan 16, 10:44 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

23937

OptionProbability

Africa

Asia

Europe

North America

South America

Oceania

Other

Antarctica/other planet/non earth body

33

23

17

13

8

2

2

1

Which of the following independence movements will be successful before 2030?

Feb 10, 9:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

11743

OptionProbability

Bougainville

Somaliland

Western Sahara / SADR

Transnistria

Kurdistan (any)

Scotland

76

73

35

29

23

18

Bougainville an independent country by 2028?

Apr 3, 7:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.71%chance

8539

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1168

856

Will Bougainville Island achieve independence from Papua New Guinea before 2029?

Dec 2, 5:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

69.52%chance

4107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

151

66

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