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Prediction markets for Brain MAX

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

325752

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1335

751

Will Nectome's human preservation protocol be published in a peer-reviewed journal by end of 2028?

Mar 18, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.28%chance

102193

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2315

432

Will Nectome have a legally separate nonprofit dedicated to storing patients by the end of the year?

Mar 18, 10:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.05%chance

121605

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1529

654

Will Nectome preserve at least one human by the end of 2027?

Mar 18, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.87%chance

111218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1681

595

Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2040?

Mar 18, 11:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

121171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1732

577

Will Nectome still be operating in 2032?

Mar 18, 10:43 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM

73.7%chance

4857

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1674

597

Will Nectome have at least ten preserved humans by the end of 2027?

Apr 14, 6:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.9%chance

3650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1495

669

Will at least 4 of Nectome's first 20 clients have significant damage?

Apr 15, 3:57 AMApr 15, 3:45 AM

66.75%chance

5507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

740

Will Nectome preserve at least 100 humans by the end of 2030?

Apr 14, 6:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.26%chance

4449

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1449

690

In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved?

Apr 15, 3:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.52%chance

5265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1028

967

Will Aurelia Song abandon Nectome before 2041?

Apr 15, 4:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.68%chance

13

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

57

Is the typical cryonics brain is well-preserved?

Apr 14, 6:34 PMApr 21, 6:34 PM

15%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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