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Prediction markets for Brain MAX

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.89%chance

253805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

922

Will Nectome's human preservation protocol be published in a peer-reviewed journal by end of 2028?

Mar 18, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.57%chance

92133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2255

443

Will Nectome have a legally separate nonprofit dedicated to storing patients by the end of the year?

Mar 18, 10:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.55%chance

101455

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1379

725

Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2040?

Mar 18, 11:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.85%chance

91101

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1787

560

Will Nectome preserve at least one human by the end of 2027?

Mar 18, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.25%chance

91080

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1614

620

Will Nectome still be operating in 2032?

Mar 18, 10:43 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM

73.7%chance

4857

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1674

597

Will Nectome have at least ten preserved humans by the end of 2027?

Apr 14, 6:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.9%chance

3650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1495

669

Will at least 4 of Nectome's first 20 clients have significant damage?

Apr 15, 3:57 AMApr 15, 3:45 AM

66.75%chance

5507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

740

Will Nectome preserve at least 100 humans by the end of 2030?

Apr 14, 6:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.26%chance

4449

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1449

690

In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved?

Apr 15, 3:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.33%chance

3225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1015

988

Will Aurelia Song abandon Nectome before 2041?

Apr 15, 4:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.68%chance

13

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

57

Is the typical cryonics brain is well-preserved?

Apr 14, 6:34 PMApr 21, 6:34 PM

15%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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