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Prediction markets for Brazilian government

Will any of Petrobras, Banco do Brasil or Caixa Economica Federal be privatized until EOY 2026?

Aug 25, 9:21 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

9.94%chance

62020

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3010

332

Will Lula be a key actor in the peace between Ukraine and Russia?

Feb 23, 5:28 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

4.98%chance

161505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2046

896

When will Jair Bolsonaro receive his passport back?

Feb 9, 9:35 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

91032

OptionProbability

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

Before 2026

Before 2025

55

43

40

12

9

0

Will the Brazilian Federal Government have a majority stake in Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais (CEMIG) before 2027?

Feb 6, 2:17 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

40.8%chance

6450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1205

830

Who will join STF (Brazil's Supreme Court) in their lifetime?

Mar 28, 2:10 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

3440

OptionProbability

Bruno Dantas

Vera Lúcia Santana Araújo

Conrado Hübner Mendes

Silvio Almeida

24

17

10

1

Will any country besides Brazil provide subsidized elective plastic surgery before 2033?

Oct 6, 12:14 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

72.49%chance

8160

OptionVotes

NO

YES

280

98

Will Republicanos have at least two ministerial positions in Brazilian government on March 31st, 2026?

Jul 7, 10:48 PMApr 1, 2:59 AM

32.33%chance

499

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

67

Will Partido Progressista have at least two ministerial positions in Brazilian government on March 31st, 2026?

Jul 8, 12:34 PMJun 1, 2:59 AM

29.17%chance

488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135

62

Will União Brasil have at least two ministerial positions in Brazilian government on March 31st, 2026?

Jul 7, 10:46 PMApr 1, 2:59 AM

80.15%chance

352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

64

Brazil outlaws racial identity verification panels before 2030?

Mar 19, 8:44 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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