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Prediction markets for Breaking Bad

Will there be at least a "close call" with a powerful misaligned AI before 2100?

Apr 26, 3:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

82.71%chance

434708

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1375

847

Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.95%chance

424571

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

811

When will IMDb's top 10 films stably include a different movie (starting 4/2024)?

Apr 9, 12:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71182

OptionProbability

2029 or before

2028 or before

2027 or before

2026 or before

2024

2025 or before

61

56

41

29

0

0

The US political system will break down as badly as Jan 6 again before 2040

Sep 5, 8:45 AMSep 12, 10:59 PM

75.41%chance

12855

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1339

840

Which media will I enjoy reading/watching?

Apr 23, 6:41 PMAug 23, 6:21 PM

13516

OptionProbability

The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy

Breaking Bad

Afghan Napoleon: The Life of Ahmad Shah Massoud

Project Lawful

Catch 22

Gordon Ramsay On Cocaine

Sunspot by Yootie

70

64

63

59

51

50

50

On Android, does Kindle have the guts to ship automatic voice accompaniment?

Dec 15, 10:20 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

30.45%chance

14494

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1204

892

When will Mike Norvell be fired as FSU's head coach?

Nov 19, 4:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2150

OptionProbability

Sometime after 2027

End of 2025

End of 2026

End of 2027

Other

30

18

18

18

18

CodeandSolder's Guessing Game (subsidized)

Nov 10, 7:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5122

OptionProbability

CodeandSolder likes the TV show Breaking Bad

You like coders more than you like soldiers

You plan to resolve this answer to "NO"

You consider yourself to be to the political left of the average Democrat

<placeholder, do not resolve>

You have a good sleep schedule

100

100

100

75

50

34

Which cancelled tv show will be the first to have a AI generated new season?

Feb 17, 6:53 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

4120

OptionProbability

Other

Max Headroom

The Office

Friends

Breaking Bad

Game of Thrones

77

6

5

4

3

3

Will mitigation of AI propaganda & "botpocalypse" concerns get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Nov 1, 9:04 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

59.64%chance

643

OptionVotes

NO

YES

223

191

Is Game of Thrones better than Breaking Bad?

Nov 5, 9:56 PM

160

Will Kaeberlein, Sinclair, Jose Luis Ricon, Zhavoronkov, Lada Nuzhna, Bryan Johnson, Guerente all DnD campaign by 2035?

Dec 3, 4:22 PM

10

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