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Top stories

NTV Kenya Hosts 'NTV Cross Over' Gospel Event Sunday 11AM-1PM Featuring Messengers Dance Academy, Theme 'Breaking Free'

NTV Kenya Hosts 'NTV Cross Over' Gospel Event Sunday 11AM-1PM Featuring Messengers Dance Academy, Theme 'Breaking Free'

Authors

7

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Breaking Free

Will the Trump administration detonate a nuclear bomb?

Mar 12, 8:05 PMJan 20, 8:49 PM

10.5%chance

396256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2919

343

Will significant evidence emerge that Alibaba's ROME AI tried to break free?

Mar 9, 2:45 AMMar 14, 2:43 AM

11.79%chance

354112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2735

366

GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)

Feb 27, 12:20 AMNov 1, 9:41 PM

55.35%chance

183221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1152

769

If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years?

Mar 8, 9:56 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

51%chance

362467

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1327

281

sophomore year prop bets [add answers]

Jul 29, 11:01 PMAug 31, 10:58 PM

101062

OptionProbability

get a 5 on ap calculus bc

get a 5 on apcsa

get a 5 on ap phys 2

get a 5 on ap lang

get an A in honors chem

get a 5 on apush

get a 5 on ap econ micro

get a 5 on ap econ macro

get an A in mandarin

make USAPHO

make USAMO

make USACO camp

82

78

74

70

69

64

63

63

59

55

45

16

Do OpenAI leadership actually believe they could develop AGI?

Sep 30, 3:59 PMJan 3, 4:59 AM

82.15%chance

19390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1146

945

I make a coin-pusher game?

Dec 3, 9:43 PMApr 5, 10:59 PM

23.58%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

180

56

Major racquet sports tourney uses robot servers

Apr 29, 9:01 AMJun 30, 8:47 AM

51.5%chance

270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

971

When do I find a tech job?

Sep 4, 1:53 PMJul 1, 1:28 PM

442

OptionProbability

H2 2026

H1 2026

H2 2025

H1 2027

H2 2027

H1 2028

H2 2028

H1 2029

H1 2030

H2 2030

H1 2031

H2 2029

21

10

9

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

6

Will there be, or has there been an instance of "Habituation" in a p2p network

Dec 3, 2:41 AMApr 4, 11:59 AM

52.99%chance

426

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

108

By 2030, will Tumbles be satisfied with the institutional response to any MAGA officials?

Feb 12, 7:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

5%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity

Feb 16, 11:53 PM

270

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