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Prediction markets for BREAKING NEWS

GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)

Feb 27, 12:20 AMNov 1, 9:41 PM

55.35%chance

183221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1152

769

Prospera breaks ground on an African charter city project before EOY 2028?

Aug 13, 11:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.85%chance

71129

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2075

482

Which will happen first, Civil War 2 or World War 3?

Apr 9, 1:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19778

OptionProbability

Second United States Civil War

Third World War

50

50

Which U.S. late-night show host will still be hosting their show by Dec 2028, given recent firings and suspensions.

Sep 19, 8:38 AMJan 30, 11:59 PM

15544

OptionProbability

John Oliver

Jimmy Kimmel

Jimmy Fallon

Seth Meyers

Bill Maher

Stephen Colbert

93

71

64

58

52

18

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

27%chance

16338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

Will the war in Ukraine end by the end of 2026?

Mar 5, 9:35 PMDec 30, 11:00 PM

9317

OptionProbability

No

Yes

Yes, but Crimea,Donetsk,Luhansk etc. will be under Russia control.

Yes, all territories that Ukraine had before 2014 will be Ukraine again.

43

31

24

2

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.06%chance

8279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

103

Will a sub-20 ranked college or university break the top 5 by 2050?

Dec 12, 5:52 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

61.32%chance

12267

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1174

817

Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027?

Feb 9, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.79%chance

4140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240

42

A public 2026 Dutch government cyberbreach will happen in ... ?

Dec 27, 1:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3124

OptionProbability

Q1 - January, February, March 2026

Q2 - April, May, June 2026

Q3 - July, August, September 2026

Q4 - October, November, December 2026

100

34

34

34

Will an AI 'TV Show' With 4+ Episodes Enjoy Total Viewership of 5 Million Per Season By October 2029?*

Oct 7, 7:17 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM

58.73%chance

490

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

84

Will there be a new TRIUMPH OF THE WILL -like film centered on MAGA/Trump by EOY2028?

Jan 20, 9:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.87%chance

332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

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