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Prediction markets for BREAKING NEWS

Prospera breaks ground on an African charter city project before EOY 2028?

Aug 13, 11:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.85%chance

71129

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2075

482

How high will Trump rank by time in office?

Oct 28, 12:50 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

101096

OptionProbability

2nd, tied

14th

2nd, outright

20th

15th

16th

17th

18th

19th

1st

36

16

12

8

6

6

5

5

5

2

Which will happen first, Civil War 2 or World War 3?

Apr 9, 1:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18773

OptionProbability

Third World War

Second United States Civil War

52

48

Woman breaks 4-minute mile by December 31, 2026?

Jan 5, 12:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.84%chance

10573

OptionVotes

YES

NO

444

23

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.06%chance

8279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

103

Will a sub-20 ranked college or university break the top 5 by 2050?

Dec 12, 5:52 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

61.32%chance

12267

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1174

817

Will I still be using openSUSE Tumbleweed six months from now?

Aug 25, 2:00 PMFeb 25, 1:41 PM

58.58%chance

4153

OptionVotes

NO

YES

753

469

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

20.73%chance

6149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

196

51

Dutch 2026 local election: Which parties will outperform their 2025 general election vote share, ignoring local parties?

Jan 14, 6:45 PMMar 18, 7:30 PM

3141

OptionProbability

SGP (>2.3%)

GL-PvdA (>12.8%)

CDA (>11.8%)

CU (>1.9%)

D66 (>16.9%)

VVD (>14.2%)

SP (>1.9%)

PvdD (>2.1%)

DENK (>2.4%)

50PLUS (>1.4%)

VOLT (>1.1%)

BBB (>2.7%)

FVD (>4.5%)

JA21 (>6.0%)

PVV (>16.7%)

84

70

64

64

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

36

34

26

24

A public 2026 Dutch government cyberbreach will happen in ... ?

Dec 27, 1:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

394

OptionProbability

Q1 - January, February, March 2026

Q2 - April, May, June 2026

Q3 - July, August, September 2026

Q4 - October, November, December 2026

24

24

24

24

Will an AI 'TV Show' With 4+ Episodes Enjoy Total Viewership of 5 Million Per Season By October 2029?*

Oct 7, 7:17 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM

58.73%chance

490

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

84

Will there be a new TRIUMPH OF THE WILL -like film centered on MAGA/Trump by EOY2028?

Jan 20, 9:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.87%chance

332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

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