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Top stories

FDA Grants Breakthrough Therapy to PTGX’s Rusfertide for Erythrocytosis in Polycythemia Vera; NDA Filing Q4 2025, Quest Diagnostics Receives Breakthrough Device Designation

Authors

5

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Breakthrough Therapy

Will AOH1996 be FDA approved before 2040?

Aug 2, 11:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.35%chance

7710425

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4316

1934

Will humans on average live to 100 years old by the end of this century?

Nov 2, 4:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.27%chance

505492

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1070

851

Will Type 1 Diabetes be cured by the end of 2040?

Dec 22, 3:45 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

51.01%chance

231215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1188

737

How many AI-generated drugs will be approved by the FDA by the end of 2030?

Jun 11, 2:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7612

OptionProbability

1 - 5

0

6 - 10

11 - 20

21 - 50

51 - 100

Above 100

47

21

12

5

5

5

5

Any province legalizes psilocybin for recreational use?

Feb 1, 11:40 AMDec 17, 11:59 PM

9.95%chance

2110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

999

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