Browser Use News

Will a team consisting primarily of ML models complete MIT Mystery Hunt by 2030?

Jan 2, 7:09 AMJan 29, 7:59 AM

30.27%chance

3021116

OptionVotes

YES

1081

564

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Dec 21, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.36%chance

777061

OptionVotes

YES

2141

1245

Will a chatbot read sheet music before 2027?

Jan 12, 11:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.14%chance

495539

OptionVotes

YES

1150

901

Will ClankerView get 100 paying users in 2026?

May 1, 11:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.56%chance

265215

OptionVotes

YES

7827

5281

Will a piece of LLM malware cause at least $100 million in damage before 2028?

Feb 13, 4:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.34%chance

162288

OptionVotes

YES

1013

987

Will I focus on the AI alignment problem for the rest of my life?

Jun 13, 6:27 PMJan 20, 7:27 PM

43.57%chance

211189

OptionVotes

YES

1340

600

Will I get my money back from the cruise casino?

Feb 7, 7:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46.38%chance

131078

OptionVotes

YES

1294

1116

Will my JobScrub 👻 browser extension for Indeed.com have 20 premium users by the end of 2026? (Ṁ1k subsidy)

Dec 2, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.29%chance

4904

OptionVotes

YES

1467

681

Which of Simon Willison's predictions from 2026 will come true?

Jan 14, 2:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6257

OptionProbability

3 years: Someone will build a new browser using mainly AI-assisted coding and it won’t even be a surprise

1 year: It will become undeniable that LLMs write good code

1 year: We’re finally going to solve sandboxing

1 year: Kākāpō parrots will have an outstanding breeding season

3 years: the coding agents Jevons paradox for software engineering will resolve, one way or the other

6 years: Typing code by hand will go the way of punch cards

1 year: A “Challenger disaster” for coding agent security

100

When will Teslas no longer be able to use the web browser whilst driving?

Apr 27, 8:39 PMJan 5, 7:59 AM

6169

OptionProbability

2026-2028

2024-2026

2028-2030

2030-2032

2032-2034

2034-2036

2036-2038

2038-2040

2040-2042

2042-2044

2044-2046

2046-2048

2048-2050

2050-2052

2052-2054

2054-2056

2056-2058

2058-2060

2060-2062

2062-2064

2064-2066

2066-2068

2068-2070

2070-2072

2072-2074

2074-2076

2076-2078

2078-2080

2080-2082

2082-2084

2084-2086

2086-2088

2088-2090

2090-2092

2092-2094

2094-2096

2096-2098

2098-2100

2100-2102

Will Browser Use (YC W25) be acquired before 2028?

Feb 3, 6:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

Fix Browser Navigation when Using Certain Tabs

Nov 23, 8:56 PM

Browser Use News

Prediction markets for Browser Use

Prediction markets for Browser Use

Prediction markets for Browser Use

Will a team consisting primarily of ML models complete MIT Mystery Hunt by 2030?

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Will a chatbot read sheet music before 2027?

Will ClankerView get 100 paying users in 2026?

Will a piece of LLM malware cause at least $100 million in damage before 2028?

Will I focus on the AI alignment problem for the rest of my life?

Will I get my money back from the cruise casino?

Will my JobScrub 👻 browser extension for Indeed.com have 20 premium users by the end of 2026? (Ṁ1k subsidy)

Which of Simon Willison's predictions from 2026 will come true?

When will Teslas no longer be able to use the web browser whilst driving?

Will Browser Use (YC W25) be acquired before 2028?

Fix Browser Navigation when Using Certain Tabs

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