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Prediction markets for Browser Use

Will a team consisting primarily of ML models complete MIT Mystery Hunt by 2030?

Jan 2, 7:09 AMJan 29, 7:59 AM

37.29%chance

2515523

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1146

437

Will GPT-5 resolve this market?

Dec 23, 6:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.03%chance

7914423

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1214

654

Will the Nintendo Switch 2 be softmodded before June 5, 2026? [read description]

May 31, 2:08 PMJun 5, 4:59 AM

8.65%chance

178964

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3250

308

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Dec 21, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.49%chance

716636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1742

1335

Will Larian Studios release another Baldur's Gate game by 2033?

Dec 28, 6:26 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

22.22%chance

292037

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1541

699

Will OpenAI release a cross-platform web browser by the end of 2026?

Nov 22, 10:01 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM

70.37%chance

10932

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1541

649

Will I focus on the AI alignment problem for the rest of my life?

Jun 13, 6:27 PMJan 20, 7:27 PM

62.8%chance

18594

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

985

Will I get my money back from the cruise casino?

Feb 7, 7:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.72%chance

6380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1459

987

Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026?

May 16, 3:19 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

35.95%chance

13376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

853

When will Teslas no longer be able to use the web browser whilst driving?

Apr 27, 8:39 PMJan 5, 7:59 AM

6166

Voice activated text selection supported by AI agent on Android by mid-2026

Oct 14, 3:18 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

53%chance

3151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

942

Fix Browser Navigation when Using Certain Tabs

Nov 23, 8:56 PM

00

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