Browser Use News

Will a team consisting primarily of ML models complete MIT Mystery Hunt by 2030?

Jan 2, 7:09 AMJan 29, 7:59 AM

30.27%chance

3021116

OptionVotes

YES

1081

564

Will the Nintendo Switch 2 be softmodded before June 5, 2026? [read description]

May 31, 2:08 PMJun 5, 4:59 AM

4.39%chance

2711264

OptionVotes

YES

3699

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Dec 21, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.31%chance

756761

OptionVotes

YES

1841

1310

Will a chatbot read sheet music before 2027?

Jan 12, 11:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.53%chance

475099

OptionVotes

YES

1167

890

Will ClankerView get 100 paying users in 2026?

May 1, 11:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.84%chance

203021

OptionVotes

YES

7728

5305

Will I focus on the AI alignment problem for the rest of my life?

Jun 13, 6:27 PMJan 20, 7:27 PM

43.57%chance

211189

OptionVotes

YES

1340

600

Will my JobScrub 👻 browser extension for Indeed.com have 20 premium users by the end of 2026? (Ṁ1k subsidy)

Dec 2, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.92%chance

3894

OptionVotes

YES

1489

671

Will I get my money back from the cruise casino?

Feb 7, 7:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.27%chance

11778

OptionVotes

YES

1334

1083

Which of Simon Willison's predictions from 2026 will come true?

Jan 14, 2:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5230

OptionProbability

3 years: Someone will build a new browser using mainly AI-assisted coding and it won’t even be a surprise

1 year: We’re finally going to solve sandboxing

1 year: Kākāpō parrots will have an outstanding breeding season

3 years: the coding agents Jevons paradox for software engineering will resolve, one way or the other

1 year: It will become undeniable that LLMs write good code

6 years: Typing code by hand will go the way of punch cards

1 year: A “Challenger disaster” for coding agent security

100

When will Teslas no longer be able to use the web browser whilst driving?

Apr 27, 8:39 PMJan 5, 7:59 AM

6166

OptionProbability

2024-2026

2026-2028

2030-2032

2028-2030

2032-2034

2034-2036

2036-2038

2038-2040

2040-2042

2042-2044

2044-2046

2046-2048

2048-2050

2050-2052

2052-2054

2054-2056

2056-2058

2058-2060

2060-2062

2062-2064

2064-2066

2066-2068

2068-2070

2070-2072

2072-2074

2074-2076

2076-2078

2078-2080

2080-2082

2082-2084

2084-2086

2086-2088

2088-2090

2090-2092

2092-2094

2094-2096

2096-2098

2098-2100

2100-2102

Will Browser Use (YC W25) be acquired before 2028?

Feb 3, 6:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

Fix Browser Navigation when Using Certain Tabs

Nov 23, 8:56 PM

Browser Use News

Prediction markets for Browser Use

Prediction markets for Browser Use

Prediction markets for Browser Use

Will a team consisting primarily of ML models complete MIT Mystery Hunt by 2030?

Will the Nintendo Switch 2 be softmodded before June 5, 2026? [read description]

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Will a chatbot read sheet music before 2027?

Will ClankerView get 100 paying users in 2026?

Will I focus on the AI alignment problem for the rest of my life?

Will my JobScrub 👻 browser extension for Indeed.com have 20 premium users by the end of 2026? (Ṁ1k subsidy)

Will I get my money back from the cruise casino?

Which of Simon Willison's predictions from 2026 will come true?

When will Teslas no longer be able to use the web browser whilst driving?

Will Browser Use (YC W25) be acquired before 2028?

Fix Browser Navigation when Using Certain Tabs

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