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Prediction markets for Bubble

Will the AI bubble pop in 2025?

Aug 12, 5:49 PMDec 31, 3:19 PM

5.23%chance

7222392

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4256

235

Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?

May 22, 1:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72%chance

8518297

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1512

682

When will the AI bubble pop?

Sep 30, 4:23 PMJan 1, 5:19 PM

509579

OptionProbability

2026

2027

No AI bubble.

2028

2025

2029

2030-2035

40

23

23

6

5

1

1

[Metaculus] Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026?

Apr 20, 10:26 AMJan 2, 12:00 PM

2.05%chance

185494

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1233

40

Is Nvidia a bubble? (Fixed version)

Mar 8, 7:30 PMMar 9, 4:59 AM

12.9%chance

245159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1732

817

Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression?

Nov 19, 12:05 AMJan 1, 11:56 PM

65.58%chance

303494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1380

724

Are we currently in an AI economic bubble?

Jun 20, 4:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

52%chance

261537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

961

What is the next speculative bubble to happen no longer than December 2029?

Jul 29, 9:45 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

13894

OptionProbability

Other bubble

NO BUBBLE

Virtual reality/artificial reality

Crypto

U.S. Real Estate

Nuclear energy

Green commodities (copper, lithium, nickel...)

Ukraine

Oil and fossil fuels

Space exploration

Other G7 Real Estate

Emerging market Real Estate

Defense

Everything bubble

India

Mexico

China

Russia

Superconductors

Biotech

Weight-loss drugs

Self-driving cars

EVs and batteries

United States

Japan

Europe

South America

Southeast Asia

Carbon capture

42

13

4

4

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will the Taleyarkhan bubble fusion result replicate by 2044?

Feb 25, 10:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.75%chance

19726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

952

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.71%chance

20567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

268

233

Will there be a VR/AR bubble by 2029?

Feb 2, 9:00 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

38.55%chance

8281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

645

310

Will there still be a bubble tea shop in NY Penn Station at the end of 2026?

Nov 15, 5:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70%chance

770

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

65

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