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Bubble News

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

Dec 28, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.8%chance

372118131

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2400

417

When will the AI bubble pop?

Sep 30, 4:23 PMJan 1, 5:19 PM

8425189

OptionProbability

No AI bubble.

2030-2035

2026

2029

2028

2027

2025

31

27

13

13

9

7

0

Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?

May 22, 1:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.69%chance

9218970

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1290

782

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.12%chance

669683

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4164

2260

AI BUBBLE? Which AI companies will drop >60% from their peak in 2026?

Nov 15, 5:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

599516

OptionProbability

Oracle

Palantir

Meta

Microsoft

Nebius

AMD

Nvidia

Alphabet (Google)

63

37

22

17

16

14

13

12

[Granular] When Will the AI Bubble Pop?

Oct 16, 9:50 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

337165

OptionProbability

Other

2026 [Apr-Jun]

2026 [Jul-Sep]

2026 [Oct-Dec]

2027 [Jan-Mar]

2026 [Jan-Mar]

2025 [Oct-Dec]

80

4

4

4

4

3

1

Is Nvidia a bubble? (Fixed version)

Mar 8, 7:30 PMMar 9, 4:59 AM

12.86%chance

245164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1737

817

Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression?

Nov 19, 12:05 AMJan 1, 11:56 PM

44.4%chance

354293

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1119

894

Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?

Feb 12, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.89%chance

332645

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1228

815

Are we currently in an AI economic bubble?

Jun 20, 4:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.32%chance

312432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1383

723

What is the next speculative bubble to happen no longer than December 2029?

Jul 29, 9:45 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

131015

OptionProbability

Other bubble

NO BUBBLE

Virtual reality/artificial reality

Crypto

Green commodities (copper, lithium, nickel...)

Space exploration

U.S. Real Estate

Other G7 Real Estate

Nuclear energy

India

Mexico

China

Ukraine

Russia

Superconductors

Biotech

Weight-loss drugs

Self-driving cars

EVs and batteries

United States

Japan

Europe

South America

Southeast Asia

Oil and fossil fuels

Carbon capture

Emerging market Real Estate

Defense

Everything bubble

50

15

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will the Taleyarkhan bubble fusion result replicate by 2044?

Feb 25, 10:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.75%chance

19726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

952

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