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Prediction markets for Bubble

Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?

May 22, 1:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.01%chance

6815028

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1512

682

[Metaculus] Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026?

Apr 20, 10:26 AMJan 2, 12:00 PM

2.5%chance

143917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1092

43

Is Nvidia a bubble? (Fixed version)

Mar 8, 7:30 PMMar 9, 4:59 AM

12.86%chance

222859

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1737

817

What is the next speculative bubble to happen no longer than December 2029?

Jul 29, 9:45 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

13853

OptionProbability

Other bubble

NO BUBBLE

Virtual reality/artificial reality

U.S. Real Estate

Space exploration

Crypto

Nuclear energy

Superconductors

EVs and batteries

Europe

Oil and fossil fuels

Other G7 Real Estate

Everything bubble

India

Green commodities (copper, lithium, nickel...)

Mexico

China

Ukraine

Russia

Biotech

Weight-loss drugs

Self-driving cars

United States

Japan

South America

Southeast Asia

Carbon capture

Emerging market Real Estate

Defense

39

13

6

4

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Who Abstracts next in the Amazing Digital Circus?

Nov 5, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13839

OptionProbability

Ragatha

Gangle

Jax

Kinger

No one abstracts before it ends

Zooble

Other

Pomni

Caine

Bubble

43

16

10

10

7

6

4

2

1

1

Will the Taleyarkhan bubble fusion result replicate by 2044?

Feb 25, 10:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.75%chance

19726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

952

Are we currently in an AI economic bubble?

Jun 20, 4:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50.15%chance

10711

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1003

997

Will we be called the AI bubble ? 2028

Jul 8, 3:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56%chance

18424

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

89

Will there be a VR/AR bubble by 2029?

Feb 2, 9:00 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

40.28%chance

7261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

625

323

Will there still be a bubble tea shop in NY Penn Station at the end of 2026?

Nov 15, 5:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.62%chance

669

OptionVotes

NO

YES

155

64

Is the sovereign debt bubble mostly done bursting yet?

May 27, 5:58 PMMay 29, 6:59 AM

65.35%chance

137

OptionVotes

NO

YES

89

56

Is humanoid robots a bubble?

May 17, 9:39 AM

90

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