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Prediction markets for Build
(M1000 Subsidy) UK builds 300,000 housing units in any year before 2030
Oct 10, 10:53 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
18.92%chance
7211589
OptionVotes
2835
709
OptionProbability
29
23
17
12
9
8
2
In what year will an AI Lab in China build Artificial General Intelligence?
Mar 25, 1:29 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
217452
OptionProbability
31
26
15
15
13
Will Saudi Arabia build a structure at least 100m x 100m x 1000m before 2040
Aug 2, 7:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
59%chance
296850
OptionVotes
1357
205
6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.
Dec 28, 11:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
90.75%chance
226494
OptionVotes
3137
320
OptionVotes
2091
478
Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025 iff Zohran wins? (Or less housing if he doesn't.)
Jun 29, 2:58 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM
40.38%chance
183040
OptionVotes
1215
823
Will Microsoft successfully build a nuclear power plant before OpenAI claims to have AGI?
Jan 9, 5:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
36.11%chance
542139
OptionVotes
1045
875
Will Extropic AI build thermodynamic computing hardware that runs an AI model faster/cheaper than GPU by 2030?
Mar 30, 11:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
31.53%chance
201561
OptionVotes
1070
739
Will one of the Trump Tower buildings in the United States be renamed before 2030?
Jan 16, 5:17 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM
51.52%chance
19746
OptionVotes
1250
589
Will humanity start building a Lunar Crater Radio Telescope before 2040?
Sep 3, 11:27 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
33.22%chance
17626
OptionVotes
1009
962
Will Montreal remove its 233m height limit on buildings?
Aug 4, 1:02 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
56.41%chance
10209
OptionVotes
138
80