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Prediction markets for Buk

Will Nayib Bukele be the leader of El Salvador in 2030?

Jul 29, 1:05 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

36.32%chance

302759

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1131

879

Will Nayib Bukele be the leader of El Salvador at the end of 2025?

Aug 6, 3:57 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

96.87%chance

121029

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

96

Will Nayib Bukele's Anti-Gang strategy be seen as a positive model in 2030?

Feb 25, 9:55 PMJan 1, 9:54 PM

42.03%chance

13835

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1355

600

Which of the following will be true by 2030? (Nayib Bukele Questions)

Oct 1, 10:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4675

OptionProbability

Still president of El Salvador

Nearly Successful Assassination Attempt

Dead

Assassinated

60

53

20

19

Will Nayib Bukele be in prison, dead, disappeared or on the run by 1st Jan 2030

Sep 7, 6:03 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

22%chance

8521

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208

122

Will Nayib Bukele peacefully transition out of power before 2035?

Aug 6, 4:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.2%chance

10275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

195

181

Will Nayib Bukele be extradited to The Hague before 2035?

Mar 13, 4:27 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

43.2%chance

3149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Bukele or Milei announces AI minister/advisor?

May 18, 4:24 AMJan 19, 5:22 AM

28.09%chance

260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

62

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