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Prediction markets for Business Conditions

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

42%chance

372766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1206

796

Will AI Cause a 10x Surge in Lawsuits or Legal Industry GDP by 2033?

Apr 7, 6:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.74%chance

10477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

108

US Congress members fight with deadly weapons in Congress before 2035.

Jan 8, 6:33 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

9.88%chance

7388

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

121

When will the EU Commission's investigation into Google's AdTech business end?

Jul 28, 11:52 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

3369

OptionProbability

2027/2028

2025/2026

2029/2030

After 2030

2023/2024

33

27

24

16

1

When will Anduril Industries IPO?

May 29, 11:56 AMDec 31, 12:55 PM

3302

OptionProbability

Q4 2026

Q3 2026

Anduril will not IPO

Q4 2025

Q1 2026

Q2 2026

Q1 2027

Q2 2027

Q3 2027

Q4 2027

2028 or later

Q3 2025

26

18

7

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

1

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

Aug 8, 5:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.89%chance

3230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4071

3711

When will Mixpanel have a liquidity event?

Apr 14, 8:08 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3155

Will TAG Grading overtake PSA as the biggest collectible authenticator before the end of 2025?

Feb 27, 11:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.59%chance

262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

162

62

If I get immunotherapy from a startup, will it turn out to be a good idea?

Feb 25, 10:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

318

OptionProbability

Nectar|is a good idea

Wyndly|is a good idea

Curex|is a good idea

57

51

48

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