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Prediction markets for Buy Before You Sell

Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Jul 28, 5:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.92%chance

326859763

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7157

3586

$PISS Pisco Stock (Permanent)

Nov 11, 7:19 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

422166652

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2757

1101

RagePope Stock (Permanent)

Nov 11, 5:36 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

439144794

OptionProbability

YES

NO

5123

2496

Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Jul 28, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30.39%chance

340104594

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5080

3679

Erin Stock (Permanent)

Nov 5, 8:16 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

44293258

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2070

1794

WickedSupreme Stock (Permanent)

Nov 11, 7:36 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

7913269

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1693

1058

Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035

Jan 5, 5:22 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

29.98%chance

217286

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15272

6552

Can I be trusted to buy and sell trading cards?

Oct 30, 10:47 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

96.45%chance

194936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1168

927

Will ClankerView get 100 paying users in 2026?

May 1, 11:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21%chance

213122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7332

5406

Can @IsaacKing be trusted to buy and sell trading cards?

Oct 31, 3:28 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

94.28%chance

243004

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

936

Can @IsaacKing be trusted to buy and sell trading cards?

Oct 30, 11:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

94.47%chance

102221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1181

927

AI Governance Stock (Permanent)

Feb 9, 8:31 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

533

OptionProbability

NO

YES

137

92

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