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Top stories

Citi and KeyBanc Upgrades Send Duolingo Shares Up 10%

Citi and KeyBanc Upgrades Send Duolingo Shares Up 10%

Authors

11

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Buy

Will Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?

Jan 7, 4:02 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

6%chance

1271807403

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3961

253

US buys Greenland in 2026?

Dec 25, 4:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2.1%chance

15267249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6836

146

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Dec 10, 1:17 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

63.63%chance

7921645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2729

2049

If I buy physical indium for investment, will I regret it in 5 years from now?

May 24, 1:59 AMMay 5, 3:59 AM

57.72%chance

828320

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12630

9632

Will it be possible to buy Tesla Optimus humanoid robot before 2030?

Oct 5, 8:50 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

45%chance

394669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1301

580

Will we be able to buy a €25k autonomous car that doesn't require driving license in mid 2029 in Italy?

Jun 2, 12:42 PMJun 2, 9:59 PM

9.69%chance

363661

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3053

328

[400 mana bounty]What inexpensive things, if I buy, will I think was worth the time and money in terms of improving QOL?

Sep 29, 1:30 AMJan 1, 2:29 AM

341911

OptionProbability

Extra phone charger

Waterproof shower speaker

Premium shower head

Rechargeable motion-sensor LED light (for closets, hallways, or under the bed)

New pillow

Shoe horn

100

65

61

60

58

39

If we buy a new car seat for our next child, will they cry less in the car?

Feb 10, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.25%chance

221334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1111

684

Will this market be influenced by AI trading bots? (Language models trained by OpenAI: buy YES)

Aug 21, 5:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.11%chance

14413

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1156

864

Will ChatGPT recommend products of ad partners over similar products from companies that don't buy ads?

Jan 16, 11:00 PMJan 16, 10:34 PM

56.9%chance

6341

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1149

870

Will I stick to my food-buying rules until December? (Ṁ10 bonus)

Oct 22, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.69%chance

9101

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

994

When will I, a random person in the Steam Frame waitlist, get a chance to buy a Steam Frame?

Sep 28, 4:13 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2027

Before Apr 2027

Before Jul 2027

Before Oct 2027

Before Jan 2028

50

50

50

50

50

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