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Prediction markets for Calendar

Which of the following will have the highest market cap to finish calendar year 2025?

Jan 8, 3:27 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

1720461

OptionProbability

NVDA stock ($4.37T as of 8/14/2025)

AAPL stock ($3.43T as of 8/14/2025)

MSFT stock ($3.89T as of 1/8/2025)

Global Crypto Market ($3.95T as of 8/14/2025)

88

11

1

0

Will NVDA net income be higher than $70B for calendar year 2025?

May 23, 7:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

97.76%chance

157036

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6604

151

Will Tesla deliver over 2 million vehicles in the calendar year 2025?

Feb 29, 3:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

0.05%chance

193684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3321

1

At any point before the end of the calendar year 2025, will the CDC or another credible source report that at least 70,000 people die annually from antibiotic-resistant infections in the US?

Mar 7, 3:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.65%chance

181979

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2257

393

Will more than 1% of young men ages 25-35 in any of the following Western countries die during a single calendar year before 2030?

Feb 13, 8:14 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.61%chance

231210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1487

910

Will the Giro d'Italia's calendar position change before 2030?

Oct 18, 7:45 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

29.95%chance

5730

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3062

2351

Will we replace the calendar by end of 2040?

Jun 29, 9:20 AMDec 31, 7:00 PM

10.8%chance

17549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

962

Will we replace the calendar by end of 2080?

Jun 29, 9:20 AMDec 31, 7:01 PM

14.12%chance

10241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1166

947

Will there be at least one calendar year with no reported wild polio cases before 2030?

Nov 2, 9:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

57.66%chance

9181

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1490

1488

When will I get a cat? (Within the next 3 calendar years)

Oct 27, 4:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

370

OptionProbability

You Don't Get A Cat.

2024

2025

2026

2023

30

21

21

21

6

Will fewer than 100 million babies be born worldwide in any calendar year before 2040?

Feb 25, 4:36 PMFeb 2, 1:29 PM

44.86%chance

453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

111

Will Taiwan abandon the use of the ROC/Minguo Calendar for all official uses before 2040?

Jun 29, 10:27 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

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