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Prediction markets for Calendar

Will Tesla deliver over 2 million vehicles in the calendar year 2025?

Feb 29, 3:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1%chance

193426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1039

6

Will Donald Trump establish a new calendar while president?

Feb 4, 12:13 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6.48%chance

112319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

380

26

Will NVDA net income be higher than $70B for calendar year 2025?

May 23, 7:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.8%chance

131722

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1418

705

Which of the FAANG stocks will have the best calendar year performance in 2025?

Jan 8, 3:52 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

121686

OptionProbability

Meta (META)

Netflix (NFLX)

Alphabet (GOOGL)

Amazon (AMZN)

Apple (AAPL)

30

22

21

14

13

Will more than 1% of young men ages 25-35 in any of the following Western countries die during a single calendar year before 2030?

Feb 13, 8:14 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.61%chance

231210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1487

910

In the year 4000 CE, what will be the starting date for the most commonly used calendar?

Mar 25, 9:53 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

171210

OptionProbability

1 CE (same as our calendar)

A date before 1 CE.

A date after 2100

A date in the 21st century

A date between 1 CE and 1000 CE

A date between 1001 CE and 2000 CE

49

18

14

13

3

3

Which of the following retail commerce stocks will perform the best in calendar year 2025?

Jan 9, 7:47 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

2700

OptionProbability

Walmart (WMT)

Costco (COST)

Amazon (AMZN)

Shopify (SHOP)

Target (TGT)

40

30

12

12

6

At any point before the end of the calendar year 2025, will the CDC or another credible source report that at least 70,000 people die annually from antibiotic-resistant infections in the US?

Mar 7, 3:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.99%chance

14674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1057

953

Will we replace the calendar by end of 2040?

Jun 29, 9:20 AMDec 31, 7:00 PM

10.8%chance

17549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

962

Will Polymarket's daily trading volume reach or exceed $200 million at any point during the calendar year 2025?

Oct 19, 1:57 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

9.22%chance

7384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

314

32

Will we replace the calendar by end of 2080?

Jun 29, 9:20 AMDec 31, 7:01 PM

14.12%chance

10241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1166

947

Will there be at least one calendar year with no reported wild polio cases before 2030?

Nov 2, 9:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

57.66%chance

9181

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1490

1488

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