Calendar Scheduling News

Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Democratic primary for President?

Dec 12, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

182915

OptionProbability

Gavin Newsom

Josh Shapiro

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Mark Kelly

Jon Ossoff

Andy Beshear

Ruben Gallego

Gretchen Whitmer

Ro Khanna

Wes Moore

JB Pritzker

Kamala Harris

Chris Van Hollen

Tim Walz

Cory Booker

Raphael Warnock

Josh Green

Rahm Emanuel

What civil time system will be used on Mars?

Jan 10, 1:11 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

262000

OptionProbability

A day will be 24 hours, 39 minutes and 35.244 SI seconds long

Other

A day will be 24h×60m×60s using a "mars second" equal to 1.0275 SI seconds.

A day will be 24h×60m×60s where a "second" is a unit of angle rather than time, equal to 1/86400 of a revolution w.r.t the sun (i.e. the equivalent of Earth's UT1, this is called "Coordinated Mars Time")

A day will be 24h×60m×60s using SI seconds (and will drift with respect to mean solar time by ~40 minutes a day)

Time of day will be an incrementing number of SI seconds from 0 to 88775.244 (possibly rounded to an integer, with leap-seconds every 4 days or whatever, or no leap seconds and allowing it to drift)

Will the Giro d'Italia's calendar position change before 2030?

Oct 18, 7:45 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

24.84%chance

71280

OptionVotes

YES

3612

2144

Minneapolis Green Line Extension opens in 2027?

Oct 27, 3:30 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

73.43%chance

6662

OptionVotes

YES

1662

602

Will Sergio Moro complete his term as Brazilian Senator?

Mar 31, 4:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93.07%chance

4573

OptionVotes

YES

493

South Africa's vanadium production exceeds 10,000 tonnes in 2027?

Nov 26, 5:41 AMFeb 29, 11:59 PM

55.19%chance

3112

OptionVotes

YES

1110

901

How many Ethereum hard forks in 2026?

Nov 14, 4:40 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

2110

OptionProbability

Above 2

Which states will vote before Super Tuesday in the 2028 Democratic Party primaries?

Jan 22, 9:36 PMNov 2, 3:59 AM

280

OptionProbability

Georgia

Nevada

Tennessee

Iowa

New Hampshire

South Carolina

Michigan

lIIinois

North Carolina

New Mexico

Virginia

Delaware

Arizona

Calendar Scheduling News

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Prediction markets for Calendar Scheduling

Prediction markets for Calendar Scheduling

Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Democratic primary for President?

What civil time system will be used on Mars?

Will the Giro d'Italia's calendar position change before 2030?

Minneapolis Green Line Extension opens in 2027?

Will Sergio Moro complete his term as Brazilian Senator?

South Africa's vanadium production exceeds 10,000 tonnes in 2027?

How many Ethereum hard forks in 2026?

Which states will vote before Super Tuesday in the 2028 Democratic Party primaries?

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