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Prediction markets for Calendly

Will NVDA net income be higher than $70B for calendar year 2025?

May 23, 7:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

97.76%chance

157036

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6604

151

Will Tesla deliver over 2 million vehicles in the calendar year 2025?

Feb 29, 3:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

0.05%chance

193684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3321

1

Which of the following financial services/banking stocks will perform best in calendar year 2025?

Jan 10, 2:07 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

43303

OptionProbability

SoFi Technologies ($SOFI)

Citigroup ($C)

Other

Bank of America ($BAC)

Capital One ($COF)

JP Morgan Chase ($JPM)

Wells Fargo ($WFC)

71

7

7

4

4

4

4

At any point before the end of the calendar year 2025, will the CDC or another credible source report that at least 70,000 people die annually from antibiotic-resistant infections in the US?

Mar 7, 3:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.65%chance

181979

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2257

393

Will more than 1% of young men ages 25-35 in any of the following Western countries die during a single calendar year before 2030?

Feb 13, 8:14 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.61%chance

231210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1487

910

In the year 4000 CE, what will be the starting date for the most commonly used calendar?

Mar 25, 9:53 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

171210

OptionProbability

1 CE (same as our calendar)

A date before 1 CE.

A date after 2100

A date in the 21st century

A date between 1 CE and 1000 CE

A date between 1001 CE and 2000 CE

49

18

14

13

3

3

Will the Giro d'Italia's calendar position change before 2030?

Oct 18, 7:45 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

29.95%chance

5730

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3062

2351

Will we replace the calendar by end of 2040?

Jun 29, 9:20 AMDec 31, 7:00 PM

10.8%chance

17549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

962

# of New Glenn launches in 2030 calendar year

Nov 29, 10:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10355

OptionProbability

5 - 9

10-19

0 - 4

20-39

40-79

80-159

160+

30

26

17

12

7

5

3

Will we replace the calendar by end of 2080?

Jun 29, 9:20 AMDec 31, 7:01 PM

14.12%chance

10241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1166

947

Will there be at least one calendar year with no reported wild polio cases before 2030?

Nov 2, 9:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

57.66%chance

9181

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1490

1488

Will fewer than 100 million babies be born worldwide in any calendar year before 2040?

Feb 25, 4:36 PMFeb 2, 1:29 PM

44.86%chance

453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

111

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