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Prediction markets for Californian

Will two Republicans win in California's June 2026 gubernatorial primary?

Jan 29, 8:51 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

10%chance

144396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2573

667

Who will finish top 2 in the California gubernatorial primary election?

Dec 6, 7:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51476

OptionProbability

Eric Swalwell(D)

Steve Hilton(R)

Tom Steyer(D)

Chad Bianco(R)

Matt Mahan

Katie Porter(D)

Xavier Becerra(D)

Butch Ware(G)

Rick Caruso(D)

71

54

36

29

27

18

7

3

2

From what state will the winning team at CMIMC come from?

Jan 29, 4:06 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

21893

OptionProbability

Texas

Multiple

California

Massachusetts

New Jersey

Other

Virginia

Florida

32

31

25

4

3

3

2

1

When will the LCBO put American alcohol back on its shelves?

Dec 24, 12:26 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3630

OptionProbability

Mar-Apr 2026

May-Jun 2026

Jan-Feb 2026

Jul-Aug 2026

Sep-Oct 2026

Nov-Dec 2026

Dec 2025

2027 or later

39

24

10

8

8

8

1

1

Will the California Condor (Gymnogyps californianus) become Extinct by 2100?

Mar 28, 10:33 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

21.26%chance

7501

OptionVotes

YES

NO

747

383

Will the wild population of the California Condor (Gymnogyps californianus) become Extinct by 2100?

May 16, 7:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.64%chance

680

OptionVotes

YES

NO

553

463

Will it be legal for California restaurants to serve foie gras any time before 2028?

Feb 9, 11:28 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

39.38%chance

460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

118

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