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Prediction markets for Call

Will the Spaceballs sequel be called "Spaceballs 2: The Search for More Money"?

Jun 19, 2:34 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

228459

OptionProbability

Yes

No

Sequel not released before 2035

73

21

6

Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?

Apr 20, 12:21 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

34.92%chance

816775

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1784

1088

Will there be at least a "close call" with a powerful misaligned AI before 2100?

Apr 26, 3:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

82.71%chance

434708

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1375

847

How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?

Mar 24, 7:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

163107

OptionProbability

Above 15

8 - 10

5 - 7

11 - 15

0

1

2

3 - 4

46

21

13

12

2

2

2

2

Will conflicts in the 2020s be called The Drone Wars?

Apr 15, 4:32 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

31.17%chance

192303

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1072

954

Will we be called the AI bubble ? 2028

Jul 8, 3:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45%chance

291442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

Will chatgpt stop calling itself a "chatbot" by 2027?

Jan 26, 9:18 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40.08%chance

39892

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1143

691

Before 2027, will I enjoy playing Minecraft w/ an AI while voice calling comparably to playing over call with a friend?

Dec 19, 6:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.89%chance

15839

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1576

640

Will an AAA-gamemaker create a video game/FPS of the Russia-Ukraine War by 2030? (eg Call of Duty/Battlefield Ukraine)

Oct 1, 6:35 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

25.66%chance

10319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1087

953

My voice AI covertly acts as me in pharmacy calls by mid 2029

Jun 4, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

57%chance

9301

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

869

Will an unaligned AI or an aligned AI controlled by a malicious actor create a "wake-up call" for humanity on AI safety?

Apr 7, 6:09 PMApr 7, 10:59 PM

68.84%chance

10141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

974

Will the top two candidates for the US 2028 election call the 2028 election "the most important"

Jul 27, 8:11 PMDec 2, 6:59 AM

45.94%chance

3110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

925

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