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Prediction markets for Canada

Who will be the prime minister of Canada after the next election?

Apr 28, 10:00 PMApr 28, 9:54 PM

7847222

OptionProbability

Mark Carney

Pierre Poilievre

Other

Doug Ford

Jason Kenney

Avi Lewis

Justin Trudeau

Heather McPherson

Caroline Mulroney

67

18

9

3

1

1

0

0

0

Will Quebec hold a referendum on independence from Canada before the end of 2029?

Apr 5, 5:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.02%chance

6713460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11406

5078

When will Canada's birth rate exceed India's birth rate?

Dec 9, 10:30 PMJan 14, 4:59 AM

610790

OptionProbability

2051-2075

2076-2100

2041-2050

2031-2040

After 2100

Never

2025-2030

27

21

15

14

14

5

4

Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2030?

Jan 26, 6:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.99%chance

269739

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2745

374

Canada submits formal application for EU membership before January 20, 2029

Jan 4, 7:47 PMJan 21, 12:00 AM

7.53%chance

308572

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3509

286

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

17.74%chance

125325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1818

107

Impala Platinum Canada PGM 2E Production 2027

Jan 30, 7:51 PMMar 1, 12:00 AM

18.99%chance

51756

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2066

484

Will number of physician assisted suicides in Canada be above 17,500 in 2026?

Jan 15, 4:05 PMJan 16, 4:04 PM

76.98%chance

111158

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1829

547

A Chinese car is one of the top 5 best selling passenger car models in Canada in 2026

Jan 16, 9:52 PMJan 16, 11:59 PM

13.76%chance

19685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

1035

What will be the population of Canada in the year 2030?

Aug 1, 9:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51.06%chance

12539

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1087

906

Chinese EVs manufactured in Canada?

Apr 2, 3:04 AMApr 9, 3:01 AM

46.27%chance

13531

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

858

Will I hear of anyone in the US or Canada placed under an involuntary psychiatric hold for talking about suicide from a philosophical perspective?

Nov 18, 2:21 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

18.9%chance

14273

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

966

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