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Prediction markets for Canadian government

US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029

Feb 19, 5:59 AMJan 2, 12:00 AM

5.66%chance

3011576

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4082

245

Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2030?

Jan 26, 6:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.22%chance

249589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2595

395

Canada submits formal application for EU membership before January 20, 2029

Jan 4, 7:47 PMJan 21, 12:00 AM

6.27%chance

288492

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3871

259

Will Canada sign a binding procurement contract for the Saab Gripen fighter before the end of 2026?

Jan 22, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.48%chance

204643

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1212

825

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

81.31%chance

93929

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1134

954

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Apr 30, 5:32 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

14%chance

71613

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2479

403

Chinese EVs manufactured in Canada?

Apr 2, 3:04 AMApr 9, 3:01 AM

48.76%chance

12481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

808

Will Australian GDP be higher than Canadian GDP in 2030?

Mar 14, 3:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

27.45%chance

6214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

62

Any province legalizes psilocybin for recreational use?

Feb 1, 11:40 AMDec 17, 11:59 PM

9.62%chance

4145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

996

Will Canada pass a Warrantless mass data collection law, as part of Bill C-22, in 2026?

May 23, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.25%chance

563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

81

Will the Canada-India uranium supply agreement size exceed 3.0 billion USD on April 1, 2027?

Mar 2, 6:15 PMApr 1, 6:14 PM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Will the Canadian government put someone on trial for killing Barry and Honey Sherman before 2030? (see desc.)

Feb 25, 7:43 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50.81%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

116

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