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Prediction markets for cancer

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

Aug 2, 10:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.58%chance

47789897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7410

4932

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.26%chance

224741

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5159

2655

Will we get a cure for cancer before 2038?

Mar 9, 11:14 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

30%chance

254639

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

968

Will we get a cure for cancer before 2037?

Mar 8, 12:02 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

29%chance

264199

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1029

855

Will the Russian cancer vaccine work?

Dec 18, 7:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.68%chance

302648

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1847

542

Will King Charles survive his cancer diagnosis?

Feb 5, 6:33 PMFeb 13, 5:59 AM

48.83%chance

542590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1000

939

Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 3, 7:29 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

71.82%chance

231575

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

956

What will come first Superconductor or Cure for cancer? (Yes Conductor, No Cancer)

Aug 5, 12:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57.01%chance

271501

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

544

Does any eating window reduce chance of cancer related death?

Mar 24, 1:48 AMSep 16, 4:59 AM

52.19%chance

221456

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1101

887

Will we discover alien life before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 11, 3:03 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

20%chance

311006

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1202

932

Will a cure that eradicated over 50% of cancer tumors without significant adverse side effects be found before 2050?

Dec 24, 10:49 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

55.23%chance

22765

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

940

Does Putin have cancer?

Apr 23, 9:01 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

22.84%chance

19703

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1189

904

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