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Top stories

General Zod Actor Terence Stamp Dies at 87

General Zod Actor Terence Stamp Dies at 87

Authors

111

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Cannes

Will Cannabis be legal in Germany at the end of 2025?

Mar 14, 8:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.4%chance

2811016

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1202

932

Will you be able to buy Cannabis legally in Germany before 2026?

Nov 23, 8:24 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

4.69%chance

577680

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3187

82

Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2026?

Mar 13, 6:01 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

1%chance

233017

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2175

3

Will the US Supreme Court reaffirm the ruling that generative AI cannot be awarded copyright by end of 2025?

Aug 19, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.02%chance

322151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1474

843

Will Mexico formally legalize cannabis by the end of 2025?

Jan 16, 7:09 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

14.89%chance

262020

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2397

372

Will Trump sign any cannabis-related legislation during his second term?

Dec 6, 2:40 AMJan 22, 5:59 AM

58.11%chance

251724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1178

849

Will a right to digital privacy be established in the USA saying your AI cannot be used against you in a court of law?

May 6, 11:40 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

10%chance

251703

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1530

1005

Will Aileen Cannon be confirmed to the Supreme Court by 2029?

Jul 15, 4:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.27%chance

141455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2115

473

Will Denmark legalize high TCH cannabis by the end of 2025

Apr 3, 12:15 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

11.52%chance

141389

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2210

702

SOAI#6: “AI neutrality” emerges as a foreign policy doctrine as some nations cannot or fail to develop sovereign AI

Oct 9, 11:06 PMDec 13, 12:06 AM

23.19%chance

151016

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1820

549

Will the first instance of an AI breakout that cannot be brought back under human control result in more than 1,000,000 deaths?

Jul 21, 4:28 PMDec 29, 4:59 AM

20.72%chance

18273

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1146

936

Will "Do not hand off what you cannot pick up" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Nov 13, 2:41 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.32%chance

271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

992

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