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Prediction markets for Cap

Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 6:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.56%chance

72137446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31997

7675

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Jun 5, 2:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52122411

OptionProbability

SpaceX

Anthropic

OpenAi

Other

84

13

3

0

What will be the largest company in the world by market cap at the start of 2030

Oct 14, 3:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

222114545

OptionProbability

Nvidia

Alphabet

SpaceX

Apple

Microsoft

Anthropic

OpenAI

Amazon

Strategy₿ (MSTR)

Other

Tesla

TSMC

Broadcom

Meta

A company that did not exist at the posting of this question

Samsung

Saudi Aramco

Tencent

IBM

Baidu

Walmart

Berkshire Hathaway

Intel

Eli Lilly

ByteDance

ASML

Oracle

16

14

13

11

10

9

8

3

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69%chance

11739485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15373

6183

30T market cap company before 2030?

May 26, 10:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

4121725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1732

577

Will TSLA a reach a 6 trillion dollar market cap before 2031?

Dec 30, 5:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19%chance

2913568

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

48

30T market cap company before 2027?

May 26, 11:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3%chance

1712868

OptionVotes

YES

NO

569

18

Will NVIDIA market cap exceed 10 trillion USD at any point in time before January 1, 2030?

May 23, 9:17 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

74.27%chance

356496

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1746

605

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO?

Apr 20, 9:30 PMApr 20, 9:29 PM

31.64%chance

213928

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2318

1737

Will SpaceX market cap be higher 1 year after IPO?

May 16, 3:13 AMMay 16, 3:12 AM

62.2%chance

8686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1013

979

What market cap will Tesla reach before 2036?

Nov 8, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8556

OptionProbability

$ 2 trillion

$ 3 trillion

$ 4 trillion

$ 6 trillion

$ 8.5 trillion

95

73

65

48

34

At what market cap will Manifold Markets exit?

Aug 31, 7:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.86%chance

21426

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2292

2135

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