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Prediction markets for Cap

Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 6:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.69%chance

72139044

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31200

7714

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Jun 5, 2:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58127042

OptionProbability

SpaceX

Anthropic

OpenAi

Other

76

22

2

0

What will be the largest company in the world by market cap at the start of 2030

Oct 14, 3:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

226117673

OptionProbability

Nvidia

Apple

Alphabet

OpenAI

Microsoft

Anthropic

SpaceX

Amazon

Strategy₿ (MSTR)

Other

Tesla

TSMC

Broadcom

Meta

A company that did not exist at the posting of this question

Samsung

Saudi Aramco

Tencent

IBM

Baidu

Walmart

Berkshire Hathaway

Intel

Eli Lilly

ByteDance

ASML

Oracle

16

12

12

11

10

10

10

3

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.26%chance

12139591

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15461

6143

30T market cap company before 2030?

May 26, 10:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.16%chance

4222845

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1990

503

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO?

Apr 20, 9:30 PMApr 20, 9:29 PM

75.05%chance

3515447

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3549

729

Will TSLA a reach a 6 trillion dollar market cap before 2031?

Dec 30, 5:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6%chance

3113727

OptionVotes

YES

NO

396

25

Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Jul 18, 5:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2010118

OptionProbability

No [Anthropic < SpaceX]

No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]

Yes

No [SpaceX < Anthropic < Other company]

47

31

18

4

Will NVIDIA market cap exceed 10 trillion USD at any point in time before January 1, 2030?

May 23, 9:17 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

74.27%chance

356496

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1746

605

Will SpaceX market cap be higher 1 year after IPO?

May 16, 3:13 AMMay 16, 3:12 AM

33.18%chance

161774

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1578

460

What market cap will Tesla reach before 2036?

Nov 8, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8615

OptionProbability

$ 2 trillion

$ 3 trillion

$ 4 trillion

$ 6 trillion

$ 8.5 trillion

88

73

65

34

21

At what market cap will Manifold Markets exit?

Aug 31, 7:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.86%chance

21426

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2292

2135

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