OptionVotes
YES
NO
259
39
OptionProbability
NVDA stock ($3.51T as of 1/8/2025)
MSFT stock ($3.17T as of 1/8/2025)
Global Crypto Market ($3.53T as of 1/7/2025)
AAPL stock ($3.64T as of 1/8/2025)
37
27
23
13
Gambling losses deduction remains limited to 90% as laid out in OBBB
Mainstream pro gamblers move primarily to prediction markets for tax treatment
Administrative action classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Court ruling classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Legislation classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Major sports book goes bankrupt because of OBBB by 2027-01-01
Major sports book restructures as a prediction market before 2026-01-01
Congress explicitly intervenes to restore 100% deduction (example Rep Titus FAIR BET act enacted)
66
51
42
38
34
32
1148
871
