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Prediction markets for Capture

Will a non-Windows, non-Unix-like operating system capture greater than 3% market share by 2033?

Sep 1, 6:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

30.73%chance

764207

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1281

1116

Cuba's Miguel Díaz-Canel captured or killed in 2026

Jan 5, 5:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

193897

OptionProbability

Neither

Captured

Killed

58

33

9

Will Ukraine capture the city of Donetsk before the Russia-Ukraine war ends

Mar 31, 1:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.3%chance

252751

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2437

700

Will Russia capture Kramatorsk at least once before EOY 2026?

Mar 2, 4:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.92%chance

241739

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1420

831

Will Russia capture Lyman in 2026?

Jan 25, 9:53 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

78.71%chance

41125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1992

564

Will Volodymyr Zelensky be killed or captured while being the president of Ukraine?

Aug 15, 9:45 AMAug 22, 8:59 PM

16.36%chance

16593

OptionVotes

YES

NO

545

167

[Metaculus] Will a proof-of-concept experiment for space-based carbon capture be successfully completed before 2031?

Oct 13, 4:18 PMJan 1, 2:00 PM

7.48%chance

10567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1454

873

When will Russia capture Sloviansk?

Jan 26, 2:55 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

3535

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2028

2029

41

37

11

11

When will Ukraine capture Kupiansk?

Dec 17, 3:47 PMDec 30, 3:34 PM

5524

OptionProbability

By the end of 2027

By the end of 2026

By the end of 2025

95

90

0

Alphafold involved in a SOTA C02 direct air capture method by mid 2026 ?

Jun 2, 8:33 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

35.58%chance

5475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1345

743

[CAPTURE THE FLAG] Will anyone from the comments go to 78.903876, -42.498353? (North Pole)

Jul 9, 1:23 PMDec 8, 10:59 PM

7.37%chance

11447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

959

The Ministry for the Future Predictions: will there be a cryptocurrency tied to CO2 capture and storage by 2040?

Feb 8, 12:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.73%chance

11204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1000

980

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