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Prediction markets for Carbon

Will carbon removal be pivotal in mitigating climate change?

Jun 16, 2:20 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

69.62%chance

29233869

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3852

3400

Carbon Brief Forecast: If Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.5 billion tons in 2030?

Mar 9, 9:51 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

55.01%chance

619562

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2230

583

Will the USA have a national Carbon Tax by the end of 2030?

Sep 14, 10:07 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

25.65%chance

181552

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1005

928

Will the world achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2060?

Apr 23, 11:47 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.93%chance

221218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1357

395

Will the UK’s National Grid be carbon neutral by 2035?

Aug 22, 12:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.5%chance

151112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1004

936

Will a major country achieve complete carbon neutrality by 2040?

Jul 11, 7:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

52.83%chance

16892

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

827

Does 2000 ppm carbon dioxide have significant negative effects on cognition or health?

Oct 21, 5:18 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

78.53%chance

14792

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1118

952

(When) will Google's Carbon-lang be deprecated?

Jul 27, 12:37 PMJul 27, 9:59 PM

80.69%chance

15597

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1446

847

If we ever come across a life form that didn't originate on earth, would it be mainly carbon based?

Nov 22, 9:47 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

76.26%chance

13484

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1353

854

Will the Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 survive the Trump administration?

Aug 5, 4:15 PMJan 6, 5:08 PM

37.4%chance

7427

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1294

773

Will the United States be carbon neutral before 2050?

Feb 9, 11:59 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

66.63%chance

14342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1077

949

Does 1000 ppm carbon dioxide have significant negative effects on cognition or health?

Oct 21, 5:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

67.44%chance

12174

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

993

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