CARES Act News

Will major components of the Affordable Care Act be repealed or curtailed before 2026?

Jan 23, 12:37 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.25%chance

2951670

OptionVotes

YES

50912

3525

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky talk like a normal person before 2030?

Sep 24, 1:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

44.04%chance

585879

OptionVotes

YES

1220

562

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.01%chance

175392

OptionVotes

YES

9916

2845

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.06%chance

372697

OptionVotes

YES

1928

630

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.49%chance

91006

OptionVotes

YES

1709

585

Which Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) provisions will survive until 2029?

Jul 3, 9:01 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5852

OptionProbability

Dependents can stay on parents' insurance until age 26

Guaranteed issue (protection from discrimination by insurers for preexisting conditions)

Per-state insurance exchanges

Nutrition labelling requirements

Prescription drugs as essential services (must be covered by insurance)

No deductibles/co-pay for vaccinations

Medicaid expansion

Bundled payments for Medicare

Coverage for contraceptive methods

Premium subsidies for households between 100-400% of federal poverty level using insurance exchanges

Employer mandate for businesses with >50 employees

States may require abortion care coverage

Will the Long Covid Moonshot Act Be signed into law?

Aug 6, 3:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1.51%chance

6728

OptionVotes

YES

807

Will surrogacy be partially or fully tax deductible in the US for federal taxes by EoY 2029

Jan 4, 4:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48%chance

3238

OptionVotes

YES

1041

961

Will the Super Mario Bros 2 movie get 70% critics score or higher on RT?

Apr 26, 10:18 PMApr 10, 10:16 PM

24.35%chance

376

OptionVotes

YES

176

Will the Affordable Care Act get repealed before January 20th, 2029?

Nov 11, 10:30 PMJan 23, 4:59 AM

35.96%chance

1047

OptionVotes

YES

133

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

122

Do you care enough about CLIMATE CHANGE to change your actions? (personal poll)

Jan 21, 4:19 PM

910

CARES Act News

Prediction markets for CARES Act

Prediction markets for CARES Act

Prediction markets for CARES Act

Will major components of the Affordable Care Act be repealed or curtailed before 2026?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky talk like a normal person before 2030?

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Which Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) provisions will survive until 2029?

Will the Long Covid Moonshot Act Be signed into law?

Will surrogacy be partially or fully tax deductible in the US for federal taxes by EoY 2029

Will the Super Mario Bros 2 movie get 70% critics score or higher on RT?

Will the Affordable Care Act get repealed before January 20th, 2029?

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

Do you care enough about CLIMATE CHANGE to change your actions? (personal poll)

Latest stories