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Top stories

iOS 26 Beta Restores Watch Blood Oxygen, Expands AI as iPhone 17 Rumors Grow

iOS 26 Beta Restores Watch Blood Oxygen, Expands AI as iPhone 17 Rumors Grow

Authors

10

1 day ago

Prediction markets for Carrier

Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?

May 19, 5:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.4%chance

1177110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3053

2338

Will China have 4 aircraft carriers by the end of 2027?

Apr 4, 11:09 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

75%chance

8811

OptionVotes

NO

YES

225

120

Will the Chinese aircraft carrier Liaoning sink before 2033

Jan 1, 11:35 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM

18.56%chance

19452

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1104

957

The USA loses an aircraft carrier anytime til EOY 2028

Jul 13, 5:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.95%chance

10328

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1058

973

Will Nauru acquire an aircraft carrier before 2031?

Feb 18, 11:53 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

10.42%chance

5258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

241

72

Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered?

Mar 13, 1:20 PMMar 20, 3:59 PM

78.73%chance

7175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

355

126

[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?

Nov 14, 2:28 PMJan 3, 4:00 AM

33.1%chance

9144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

91

Will hypersonic missile(s) sink a US aircraft carrier by 2030?

May 19, 4:38 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

9.29%chance

7123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

271

114

Will any aircraft carrier be lost at sea before 2036?

May 23, 9:19 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

45.58%chance

557

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

89

Will the US Navy commission more than three Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?

Sep 30, 1:10 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

70.19%chance

338

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

51

Will the US Navy commission more than five Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?

Sep 30, 1:20 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

47.39%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

70

70

Will the US Navy commission more than four Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?

Sep 30, 1:18 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

50.99%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

71

69

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