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Top stories

iOS 26 Beta Restores Watch Blood Oxygen, Expands AI as iPhone 17 Rumors Grow

iOS 26 Beta Restores Watch Blood Oxygen, Expands AI as iPhone 17 Rumors Grow

Authors

10

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Carrier

Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?

May 19, 5:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.7%chance

1237627

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3003

2619

The USA loses an aircraft carrier through mid 2026

Jan 2, 8:10 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

1%chance

232399

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

Will Nauru acquire an aircraft carrier before 2031?

Feb 18, 11:53 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

1%chance

61416

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1400

36

The USA loses an aircraft carrier anytime til EOY 2028

Jul 13, 5:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.75%chance

12857

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1420

915

Will the Chinese aircraft carrier Liaoning sink before 2033

Jan 1, 11:35 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM

17.16%chance

21555

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1191

938

The USA loses an aircraft carrier through 2026

Jul 13, 5:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6.17%chance

7415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

268

50

Will China launch nine aircraft carriers by the end of 2035?

Dec 24, 7:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

10333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

64

Will the next French aircraft carrier be (initially) named after a woman?

Apr 9, 12:54 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

18.19%chance

5258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

336

79

Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered?

Mar 13, 1:20 PMMar 20, 3:59 PM

78.73%chance

7175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

355

126

Will hypersonic missile(s) sink a US aircraft carrier by 2030?

May 19, 4:38 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

12.19%chance

8130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

212

121

Will any aircraft carrier be lost at sea before 2036?

May 23, 9:19 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

41.71%chance

665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

97

83

Will China commission a fourth conventional aircraft carrier before 2030?

Jan 1, 6:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

64.57%chance

461

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

74

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