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Top stories

iOS 26 Beta Restores Watch Blood Oxygen, Expands AI as iPhone 17 Rumors Grow

iOS 26 Beta Restores Watch Blood Oxygen, Expands AI as iPhone 17 Rumors Grow

Authors

10

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Carrier

Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?

May 19, 5:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.51%chance

1217209

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3057

2324

Will China have 4 aircraft carriers by the end of 2027?

Apr 4, 11:09 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.88%chance

9881

OptionVotes

YES

NO

202

126

Will the Chinese aircraft carrier Liaoning sink before 2033

Jan 1, 11:35 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM

18.79%chance

20455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1091

960

The USA loses an aircraft carrier anytime til EOY 2028

Jul 13, 5:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

16.03%chance

11329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1053

974

The USA loses an aircraft carrier through 2026

Jul 13, 5:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6%chance

5307

OptionVotes

YES

NO

274

50

Will Nauru acquire an aircraft carrier before 2031?

Feb 18, 11:53 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

10.42%chance

5258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

241

72

Who will France’s next aircraft carrier be named after?

Apr 9, 4:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9213

OptionProbability

Richelieu

Other

Jeanne d'Arc

François Mitterand

Simone Veil

Leclerc

Darlan

28

25

15

10

9

7

5

Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered?

Mar 13, 1:20 PMMar 20, 3:59 PM

78.73%chance

7175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

355

126

What will China's fourth aircraft carrier be named?

Nov 14, 9:22 AMDec 31, 9:10 AM

4130

OptionProbability

Jiangsu

Guangdong

Other

Zhejiang

Hebei

Shanghai

Xianggang (Hong Kong)

Xinjiang

Taiwan

29

28

10

6

6

6

6

6

3

Will hypersonic missile(s) sink a US aircraft carrier by 2030?

May 19, 4:38 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

10.07%chance

8125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

252

116

Will the US Navy commission more than five Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?

Sep 30, 1:20 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

47.39%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

70

70

Will the US Navy commission more than four Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?

Sep 30, 1:18 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

50.99%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

71

69

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