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Prediction markets for Cash

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?

Dec 18, 3:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

3415050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6351

3156

Will unlimited 3% cash back on the Robinhood Gold Card last at least 18 months?

Mar 29, 6:43 PMJun 15, 6:59 AM

96.06%chance

6911283

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6548

216

Should I make a dog run? (Cash prizes!!! maybe)

Nov 9, 11:44 PMJul 1, 10:21 PM

85.1%chance

154211

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2390

418

RBA Cash Rate at end of 26FY?

Jul 22, 11:44 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

73737

OptionProbability

4 - 4.99%

3 - 3.99%

0 - 0.99%

1 - 1.99%

2 - 2.99%

5 - 5.99%

6 - 6.99%

7 - 7.99%

8 - 8.99%

9 - 10%

97

3

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will LME cobalt metal official cash settlement price exceed 55 USD per kg on June 30, 2026?

Mar 21, 2:23 AMJun 30, 4:00 AM

59.28%chance

63015

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12066

8288

Will any country ban cash/ physical currency by 2030?

Mar 11, 9:21 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

14.06%chance

231572

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1329

901

By 31 December 2026, will the Congress pass a DBCFT (Destination Based Cash Flow Tax)?

Nov 7, 4:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.41%chance

61215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1975

506

At the beginning of 2032, will people in the United States still be using physical coins or cash on a frequent basis?

Feb 10, 12:06 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

62.38%chance

331184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1076

824

Will Kalshi continue offering interest on cash AND open positions until the conclusion of 2026?

Oct 23, 5:07 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

80.81%chance

111173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2052

487

Trump gives people cash from tariffs in 2026?

Nov 20, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.91%chance

15680

OptionVotes

YES

NO

272

37

Will bitcoin cash hit $600 before April?

Feb 24, 3:57 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

49.62%chance

8344

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

99

What will the final AD cash-deposit rate (Russia-wide entity) be for unwrought palladium?

Feb 16, 5:48 PMOct 31, 5:48 PM

55.95%chance

1127

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1127

887

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