OptionProbability
Ron Weasley is a redhead
Harry Potter is white
At least one named character from the book has their race changed
Snape is black
An actor who acted in the movies returns for the show
Harry, Ron, and Hermioneâs actors will all be British
Fred and George are twins irl
Hagrid is played by an actor who is under 6'4"
Harry Potter doesn't cast a single spoken, working spell in the first episode
Dumbledore casts a spell (spoken or wordlessly)
McGonagall performs an animagus transformation (human2cat or cat2human)
A character cut from the movies appears (ie Theodore Nott)
Ron Weasley doesn't cast a single, spoken, working spell in the first two episodes
A History of Magic lesson is shown on screen
Quirrel is wearing a head covering when Harry first meets him
Premieres in 2027
Malfoy has white blonde hair
Thereâs a scene set before Harry is born
JK Rowling is credited as both an executive producer and original writer
The potion riddle guarding the Stone will be featured
Peeves is a reoccurring character
It's woke
Cornelius Fudge is shown on screen
A scene depicts Voldemort trying to kill baby Harry
Harry first sees Hogwarts castle in episode 2
mandrake root on screen
Hermioneâs parent(s) shown on screen
80% or higher on rotten tomatoes
Arthur Weasley is shown on screen
Homosexual interaction between some characters will be presented
Hagrid says "Youâre a wizard, Harry"
Hermione is white
Luna Lovegood, Cho Chang, or Cedric Diggory are mentioned by first or last name, or are in the credits
A house elf is shown on screen
Premieres on strongly symbolic date (like July 31, 21.12)
Arabella Figg is mentioned by first or last name
It will be torrentfreak.com's "Most Pirated" TV show for its year of release or the following year
The Quibbler is shown or mentioned
At least one named character from the book has their gender swapped
Hagrid ties Vernonâs gun into a knot
An actor who appeared in any of the Jackass films receives a credit on IMDB related to the show
Goblins are still represented as anti-semitic caricatures
It ends on a cliff hanger
The Weasley's Ford Anglia is seen flying
An Astronomy lesson is shown on screen
"Voldemort" has a silent "t"
The Flying Ford Anglia is seen.
Harry first sees Hogwarts castle in episode 3
Hagrid presents a cake with writing on it to Harry and the writing has no misspellings
Harry visits Diagon Alley in episode 1
Harry visits Platform 9 3/4 in episode 1
At least one of the actors is transgender
VOLDEMORT HAS A NOSE
Dobby makes an appearance
Harry only reaches Hogwarts in the last 10 minutes of the first episode
The intro theme song will have at least one obvious English word
Premieres in 2026
Harry is shown holding more than three different wands at Ollivanderâs
90% or higher on rotten tomatoes
Any Harry Potter fanfic is referenced (either explicitly as judged by market creator, or confirmed by someone who works on the show)
Quirrel shakes Harryâs hand during their first meeting
Harry Potter doesn't cast a single, spoken, working spell in the first three episode
We see a wizarding school other than Hogwarts
Features an explicitly transgender character
JK Rowling makes a cameo appearance
Hagrid is played by an actor with a cognitive disability
Hermione is black
Hermione is Indian
Zendaya is cast in the show
Smartphone shown within Hogwarts
Awkwafina is cast in the show
Voldemort is a woman
There will be seven CGI dwarves
set in 2025
set in the 2020s
Rita Skeeter will have an explicit trans identity
Keir Starmer is in it
Yudkowsky makes an appearance
Harry, Ron, and Hermione will all be transgender
We get AGI before it premieres
HPMOR is referenced
Hagrid is black
Gandalf is black
Adolf Hitler is mentioned
Fred and George have the same actor
One or more of Hermione, Ron, and Harry have their genders swapped.
99
98
97
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95
95
95
94
94
94
94
91
90
88
85
84
83
83
78
78
74
74
73
66
65
65
64
63
63
63
62
59
57
55
55
53
52
45
42
42
35
34
33
32
32
31
30
29
27
27
26
25
25
25
24
23
22
21
20
20
20
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
9
8
8
7
6
6
6
5
5
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
1
OptionProbability
call someone retarded through text or speech
Take control of the army National Guard of a state (not just announcement)
A literal red line on the ground/floor
complete 50% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
Initiates low intensity conflict with Venezuela
Weaponize Federal Procurement: Launch a DOJ criminal investigation into Fed Chair Powellâs $2.5B renovation probity, while simultaneously accepting $400M in private corporate donations for the White House 'State Ballroom'.
repeal or reform the dietary guidelines
request and successfully redraw 1 or more state districts
refuse to accept results of 2026 midterms in at least one state
explicitly conditions FEMA aid to a blue state on unrelated ideological issue
complete 66% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
intervenes to stop a federal criminal investigation into a high ranking republican
Causes Tina Peters' early release
new blockade of a country
pass 500 or more executive orders
put his name on a ship in the navy
have any governmental officials visit Taiwan formally or informally
resume buying oil from Russia
forcibly shuts down a windmill farm power plant or revokes permits etc
declare war and send troops to aggressively enter any new country
request and successfully redraw 2 or more state districts
order the arrest of a governor by name even if it does not happen
Stays alive
Revoke ten or more citizenships
issue circulation coin or bill with his image or pass laws to do that in the near future
ten or more protestors killed during term
request and successfully redraw 3 or more state districts
sells 100 square miles or more of federal property to private owners or other countries
File lawsuit against a congressperson
complete 75% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
Eliminate the two-person train crew safety regulations (DoT request from Project 2025)
Uses the US military or National Guard to prevent at least one legal voter from casting a ballot during 2028 election
Pardons an officer for a crime committed on the job enforcing immigration laws
Military against drug cartells on venezuelas ground
Dep
have a journalist arrested
call for twitter / x to ban account of a democrat politician
Call for the banning of HRT (hormone replacement therapy)
Trump will pardon those involved before the sentencing - medical fraud schemes
closes 1 or more national parks (63 as of question creation)
Enforce the Comstock Act at least once
Gets angry with Putin and renews (also indirect) nuclear threat.
sends USA troops to enter Mexico without permission
Mandate teaching Arabic numerals in East (American) Samoan schools
have the DOJ "classify educators and public librarians" who discuss "transgender ideology" with minors as "sex offenders." as per project 2025
His name is on the ballot for the 2028 Republican primaries in any state/territory
Raise the retirement age for social security
Accept a gift of an airplane to *himself personally* (not a gift to the US government)
Nominate a family member to high office
have FBI DOJ or other agency charge a congressperson with treason
Orders an agency under federal control to arrest a congressperson
Closes or makes radical ideological changes to The National Museum of African American History and Culture
get ukraine to agree to give up ALL of the donbas AND crimea to russia
Weaken regulations on baby formula as per project 2025
Sunset the Office of Accountability and Whistleblower Protection (Veteran Affairs)
Raise contribution limits (FEC)
add a new federal holiday in his honor
Order the arrest of a sitting member of congress
Have USA test a nuclear bomb anywhere
Kidnap *another* head of state (after Maduro)
call someone a pedophile explicitely by name through text or speech
revoke broadcasting licenses of a media company he does not like
remove a major non NATO ally from the current list
Pardon a convicted pedophile
Pardons a private citizen for an act in opposition to an anti-trump protest
Enact price controls on groceries
Says 6 7 (or variant)
repeal the Federal Sugar program (USDA) as suggested by project 2025
Add a citizenship question to the census
End congressional review of arms transfers to foreign countries (DoD)
host putin at mar a lago
Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory (drone artillery etc count)
federalize a city or area currently under control of another state (not DC)
force a census to happen when it normally wouldnt
complete 90% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer
repeal the federal mandate to label genetically engineered food (as per project 2025)
Eliminate ACA's requirement to cover the morning after pill
Lessen child labor regulations to allow "teenage workers" to work "inherently dangerous jobs". (DoL)
Pardons someone acting as a private citizen for an act in support of immigration enforcement (not an on duty officer)
classify "transgender ideology" as "domestic terrorism," as per The Daily Wire
department of defense renamed to Dept of war
Pardon himself
Get rid of Noaa.
delete Juneteenth as a federal holiday
force a former president to testify before Congress
Deports at least one athlete during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
appoint a family member to lead any federal agency
declare he has officially undone a past presidential pardon
Impose time-limits on how long low-income people can receive Medicaid in their lifetime
Remove tax exempt status from one or more universities
enact special taxes or tariffs on a subset of states he does not like
Causes derek chauvin's early release
Bans / restricts guns for trans people (or tries to)
Deploy US troops into any of 83 Federal subjects of Russian Federation (or announce that)
Postpone the elections due to emergency
Actually privatizes at least part of the USPO
Deports at least one Olympic athlete during the 2028 Summer Olympics
Pardon ghislaine maxwell
stops all sanctions on Russia
Pass a federal "Parents' Bill of Rights" with regard to Education
Remove all federal funding for SNAP/food stamps
Gets influence on Gaza strip to make investment deals with real estate or buys land.
All 10 of the 10 largest protests in the USA happen under trump
Withdraw from NATO
Eliminate the DHS Office of Intelligence and Analysis
repeal Obamacare
pardon derek chauvin
admin stops reccomending fluorinated water entirely
Call for the death penalty of any former president by name
federally mandate ten commandments or Bible in classrooms
debank a congressperson governor or mayor
announce that a part of Canada belongs to the USA
expand the supreme Court and appoint someone new
Prohibit use of aborted fetal cells in research for new medical applications as per project 2025
Eliminate the U.S. Trade and Development Agency
cancel the 2028 election / it doesnt happen for any reason
Threatening to attack a US defence pact ally (e.g. NATO, Rio Pact etc.) with nuclear weapons
actually disinter bodies from another country
Call for the end of child marriage
Four or more protestors/bystanders killed by national guard/military in one day
Attack a NATO ally.
Appoint a crony, such as Bondi, or his personal lawyers, to SCOTUS
Repeal of the Antiquities Act of 1906
change it so that presidents can serve 3 or more terms again
orders arrests of any Biden family member
Annex any part of Mexico
Prosecute someone for flag burning
cause Fox, nbc CNN MSNBC or another main news channel to shut down
Remove all unions in the Dept. of Homeland Security
Prevent the VA from covering abortion services
Ban construction of new windmills in the USA for power generation
Replace his Vice President
Call for the default of the United States sovereign debt
Announce heâs running for a third term
Eliminate the Office of Childrenâs Health Protection
Calls himself a dictator or unambiguous synonym (without equivocating)
Eliminate the Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assistance (EPA)
expand the borders of the usa
remove tax exempt from only certain religions
have a supreme court justice impeached and/or removed
threaten to disinter bodies from another country
Mandate time-and-a-half compensation on a Sabbath (project 2025 request)
fauci in jail at least one week
take control of a part of ukraine
add a new state
pardon george santos
take state ownership in an airline
Call for the end of the House of Reps
Repeal the Global Change Research Act of 1990
changes the logo or name of a previously offensive sport team (pressures until they actually do it)
take control of a part of greenland
ends black history month
Eliminate the DOE Loan Program
Delist the grizzly bear AND gray wolf from the Endangered Species Act
Call for the assassination of the leader of an allied nation
Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
Four or more protestors (or bystanders) killed by national guard
New restrictions on SSRIs (including a ban)
Sides with Putin because he has compromising information against Trump regarding the Epstein files.
Call for the end of gay marriage
Fully or partially privatize Social Security
Privatize the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program
Eliminate the Federal Reserve mission of full employment
ban trans people from holding federal offices
make statements that are negative about labubu
confiscate 1 million or more from the Democratic party itself
Call for the abolition of the voting rights act or the 15th amendment
breaks ground on a trump building in Gaza
fully nationalize an airline
Salute Putin
Wind down and privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
stop California from hosting the Olympics
confiscate 1 million or more from an individual Congress person
Dissolve/shut down/abolish NASA
Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2028 Summer Olympics
ban all new incoming students from china and/or india
Pardon p diddy
Implement a federal age of consent
Require all schools that receive federal funding to give students the military entrance test.
change or add a face on Mount Rushmore
change the borders of a state
breaks ground on a trump building in Russia
Detonates a nuclear weapon as an act of war
repeal an amendment
declares a white history month
Implement a federal abortion ban
give sell or otherwise transfer a part of Alaska to Russia
enter a mutual defense partnership with russia or north korea
Call for the end of the Senate
all time high unemployment reached
Does Nazi / Roman salute with same passion as Elon's gesture
Call for the end of interracial marriage
After the ballroom he starts building a palace for the future Trump-Monarchy
bans anime
bans 6 7
Wearing a white dress after labor day
Abolish the Federal Reserve and move to a "free banking" system
Eliminate all administrative proceedings within the SEC
Dept of defense renamed to dept of peace
100
100
100
100
100
95
88
88
87
84
83
76
76
75
71
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66
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63
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57
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11
10
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9
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9
9
8
8
8
8
8
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7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
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6
6
6
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6
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5
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
OptionProbability
Cirie Fields
Ozzy Lusth
Q Burdette
Christian Hubuki
Charlie Davis
Genevieve Mushaluk
Kyle Ostwald
Angelina
Colby Donaldson
Joe Hunter (s48)
Emily Flippen
Rob Mariano (Boston Rob)
John Cochran
Parvati Shallow
Tony Vlachos
Rupert Boneham
Malcolm Freberg
Sandra Diaz-Twine
Andy Rueda
Rachel LaMont
Jeremy Collins
Vercepia Towry
Carolyn Wiger
Drew Basile
Kenzie Petty
Russell Hantz
Rob Cesternino
Venus Vafa
Caroline Vidmar
Solomon (âSolâ) Yi
Ben Katzman
Austin Li Coon
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
Bo Brahson as Princess Zelda
Benjamin Evan Ainsworth as Link
Dichen Lachman as Impa
Kristen Schaal as Navi
Masi Oka as Tingle
[This market will have the actor for Ganondorf submitted before it is announced/leaked]
Tilda Swinton as Impa
Emily Kuroda as Impa
Finn Wolfhard as Skull Kid
Zelda Williams as Great Fairy
[This market will have the actor for Link submitted before it is announced/leaked]
Jack Black as Morshu
Sacha Baron Cohen as Tingle
Chris Pratt as Groose
Hugo Weaving as Ganondorf
Idris Elba as Ganondorf
[This market will have the actor for Zelda submitted before it is announced/leaked]
Dave Bautista as Ganondorf
Henry Cavill as Ganondorf
Tilda Swinton as Ganandorf
Timothée Chalamet as Link
Emma Watson as Zelda
Justice Smith as Link
Jacob Tremblay as Link
Tom Holland as Link
Hunter Schafer as Zelda
Thomasin McKenzie as Zelda
Thomas Brodie-Sangster as Link
Mackenyu as Link
Sophia Lillis as Zelda
F1nn5ter as Link
Saoirse Ronan as Zelda
99
99
88
27
22
17
17
16
15
14
13
13
9
7
7
6
5
4
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
The season takes place in Europe
We will see any character from S3 in S4 of White Lotus
Any character from S1-3 is shown on screen
At least one named character dies
A named character goes swimming
Any named character takes drugs
Someone commits adultery
We see more than two people die over the course of the season
Full frontal male nudity
Named character gets on a boat
There is an interracial physical relationship (kiss/sex/marriage?)
Group sex with >2 named characters
A hotel employee dies
Greg / Gary appears on screen in non-flashback/photo/[similar]
Lesbian scene (romantic kissing or more)
A gun gets shot
Two named characters talk inside an airport terminal
First S04 episode airs in 2027
At least one death occurs by accident
Belinda returns on the show
At least two named characters from previous seasons appear
A medical doctor is shown on screen
Someone insists they've witnessed a supernatural or divine event
A security guard or a bodyguard is a named character
There is a mention about how guests keep dying at white lotus resorts
Hotel manager is gay or bi
At least one character is non-binary gendered
Oscar winner part of the acting cast
Someone gets fired or quits dramatically
No rich person (over $10M net worth) acts like a douche
9 episodes long (+1 from last, like each previous season)
Zion returns to the show
A named character is terminally ill
Alluding to, mentioning, or performing (on or off screen) bestiality
No heterosexual character is murdered
At least one named character is a sex worker
There are at least three named characters under the age of 18
Tanya gets mentioned
A named character goes hiking
Nobody dead from gun
Someone is arrested
There will be a funeral shown on screen
We will see Frank (S3) in S4 of White Lotus
A camel is shown on screen
A named character is shown to be vegan
Kidnapping/Abudction
Someone gets tied up or gagged (non-consensually)
We see more than five people die over the course of the season
A named character goes scuba diving
Snow is shown on screen
Someone drowns
Somebody speaks Spanish (â¥5 consecutive words)
The hotel only serves vegan food
Incest
The season takes place mainly in Asia
The season takes place in South America
The season takes place in Africa
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94
94
92
88
76
66
66
64
59
57
56
55
55
53
51
50
50
49
49
45
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32
31
31
31
31
30
30
30
28
26
24
24
24
24
20
20
17
15
12
11
10
8
6
1
1
1
OptionProbability
Jackie Chan
Ken Watanabe
Keanu Reeves
Paul Rudd
Chris Pratt
Donnie Yen
Karen GIllan
Zendaya
Hiroyuki Sanada
Timothee Chalamet
Lucy Liu
Nicolas Cage
Dev Patel
Jim Carry
Masaki Nakao
Ryan Potter
Scarlett Johansson
Johnny Depp
Jacob Hopkins
Dylan Sprouse
Kodai Matsuoka
Elizabeth Olsen
Wesley Wong
Hayley Kiyoko
Lana Condor
Jack Black
Inaki Godoy
Emily Rudd
Jack De Sena
Dante Basco
Tom Holland
Ben Schwartz
Ryan Gosling
Aaron Paul
Leonardo DiCaprio
Michelle Yeoh
Adam Sandler
Eliezer Yudkowsky/
Destiny
33
32
23
23
22
19
15
15
15
13
13
11
10
10
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
6
5
5
4
4
3
1
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2285
438
OptionVotes
YES
NO
282
68
OptionProbability
Patrick Stewart
Brent Spiner
Denise Crosby
Michael Dorn
LeVar Burton
Jonathan Frakes
Gates McFadden
Marina Sirtis
Wil Wheaton
32
22
16
8
5
5
5
5
3
OptionVotes
YES
NO
215
94
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1013
998
