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Prediction markets for Cat

Cat girl ears by end of 2029?

Dec 11, 2:21 AMNov 23, 12:35 PM

24.65%chance

8013436

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1087

843

Will a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old?

Aug 20, 3:03 PMAug 21, 9:59 PM

12.59%chance

308500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1163

938

Will most people be dating robot cat girls in 15 years?

Apr 7, 7:37 PMApr 7, 11:59 PM

2.68%chance

334054

OptionVotes

YES

NO

603

17

Will "Backyard cat fight shows Schelling points pre..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jan 15, 7:32 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

4.38%chance

22001

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2978

837

Will there be a cat on Mars any time through 2036?

Aug 31, 8:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6.6%chance

171376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1798

893

Will a house cat die in space through 2029

Aug 31, 8:08 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.4%chance

15686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1309

941

Will a dog walk on the moon before a cat?

Apr 3, 5:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.79%chance

14224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

985

Will a dog get to the moon before a cat?

Apr 24, 3:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76.38%chance

15191

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

929

Will "The Cats are On To Something" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 2, 10:32 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.11%chance

3173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1155

977

How long will my partner & I's cat, Ophelia, live?

Oct 4, 7:15 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

59.54%chance

6151

OptionProbability

YES

NO

149

121

How long will my cat, Maya, live?

Oct 4, 7:15 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

64.09%chance

8122

OptionProbability

YES

NO

139

137

When will I get a cat? (Within the next 3 calendar years)

Oct 27, 4:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

370

OptionProbability

You Don't Get A Cat.

2024

2025

2026

2023

30

21

21

21

6

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