Catalyst News

US civil war before 2028 with Charlie Kirk shooting as major cause?

Sep 11, 10:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.83%chance

219394

OptionVotes

YES

5857

171

Will there be helium-3 production on the moon before 2063 ?

May 6, 3:01 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

14.88%chance

212624

OptionVotes

YES

977

890

When will the tesla share price first exceed $500?

Jan 2, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

122623

OptionProbability

It won't, not before 2027

May 2026

April 2026

June 2026

July 2026

August 2026

October 2026

September 2026

November 2026

December 2026

March 2026

January 2026

February 2026

Will generative artificial intelligence be banned in at least one G7 country by the end of 2026?

Jul 29, 2:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.94%chance

15732

OptionVotes

YES

239

Will Bitcoin exceed $100,000 before December 31, 2026?

Feb 19, 7:54 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

41%chance

18681

OptionVotes

YES

120

Will there be oxygen production on the moon before 2053 ?

May 6, 2:31 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

81.03%chance

19656

OptionVotes

YES

1449

853

Will there be aluminum production on the moon before 2063 ?

May 6, 2:43 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

50.68%chance

17610

OptionVotes

YES

1126

857

Will there be steel production on the moon before 2063 ?

May 6, 2:34 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

44.68%chance

14468

OptionVotes

YES

1052

954

How will the first artificial molecular assembler be constructed?

Aug 20, 4:59 AMDec 20, 7:59 AM

19354

OptionProbability

Protein Synthesis (e.g. DNA origami, RNA tiles)

Other

Additive Photolithography (e.g. 1 or 2-photon polymerization)

Vapor Deposition (e.g. CVD, PVD, ...)

Subtractive Photolithography (e.g. EUV photoresist)

Scanning Probe Microscopy (e.g. AFM/STM vertical atom manipulation)

Peptidomimetic Macrocycles (e.g. spiroligomer-based membranes)

Focused Ion Beam (e.g. sputtering or metal deposition)

Polymarket exceeds $6B trading volume in June 2026?

Nov 20, 4:39 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

35.66%chance

10310

OptionVotes

YES

134

Who will resign first?

Jan 12, 3:07 AMDec 31, 3:03 AM

10281

OptionProbability

Kemi Badenoch

Keir Starmer

Will there be titanium production on the moon before 2063 ?

May 6, 2:59 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

40.11%chance

13192

OptionVotes

YES

1044

925

Catalyst News

Prediction markets for Catalyst

Prediction markets for Catalyst

Prediction markets for Catalyst

US civil war before 2028 with Charlie Kirk shooting as major cause?

Will there be helium-3 production on the moon before 2063 ?

When will the tesla share price first exceed $500?

Will generative artificial intelligence be banned in at least one G7 country by the end of 2026?

Will Bitcoin exceed $100,000 before December 31, 2026?

Will there be oxygen production on the moon before 2053 ?

Will there be aluminum production on the moon before 2063 ?

Will there be steel production on the moon before 2063 ?

How will the first artificial molecular assembler be constructed?

Polymarket exceeds $6B trading volume in June 2026?

Who will resign first?

Will there be titanium production on the moon before 2063 ?

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