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Prediction markets for Celestial

What will be the first celestial body other than Earth, Moon and Mars to be visited by humans?

Apr 2, 1:15 PMApr 10, 3:59 AM

263346

OptionProbability

Callisto

Ganymede

Europa

Titan

Mercury

Venus

Io

Other

51

17

16

8

5

1

1

1

Celestial Dragon Agenda Stock

May 3, 4:25 PMMay 3, 9:59 PM

183318

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1024

200

Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery?

May 5, 4:30 AMJan 2, 5:29 AM

11.1%chance

72000

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2830

353

Will a human land on any celestial body other than Earth, the Moon, or Mars before 2040?

Feb 7, 6:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

20.05%chance

211537

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1353

871

Will we have at least ONE colony in space by 2050?

Dec 15, 9:40 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

69.95%chance

29902

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1215

880

Is/Was Shank a celestial dragon?

Mar 5, 6:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

89.22%chance

16803

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1402

902

What decade will humanity establish the first permanent colony on the Moon?

Sep 4, 1:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14655

OptionProbability

2040 - 2050

2030 - 2040

After 2070

2060 - 2070

2050 - 2060

Between now and 2030

44

34

8

6

5

3

Will Austin Shaw (https://twitter.com/replicationer) - who works for Skyline Celestial - become a Thiel Fellow in the next 6 years?

Apr 18, 10:02 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

10.06%chance

6380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

253

99

What's the explanation for the "Orion Jumbos"?

Jan 2, 6:21 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

6209

OptionProbability

Ejected Planetary Objects

Other

Gravitational Fragmentation

Binary Coalescence

Unidentified Physical Phenomenon

Dark Matter Interaction

Quantum Fluctuation

Alien Engineering

33

25

10

10

7

7

4

3

What name will Intel use for its 5th generation of graphics cards?

Dec 5, 1:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5175

OptionProbability

Other

Evoker

Intel will stop the arc branding and never announce a name

Explore

Eclipse

Expert

Intel will skip E and go to F

Erudite

20

17

13

10

10

10

10

9

Will Celestine Au (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 23, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.46%chance

5163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

86

How many distinct celestial bodies will be known in Alpha Centauri system in 2030?

May 2, 11:22 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

475

OptionProbability

6-7

7-8

8-9

5-6

9-10

10-11

11-12

12-13

13-14

14-15

15-16

1-2

2-3

3-4

4-5

18

18

18

7

7

4

4

4

4

4

4

1

1

1

1

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