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Top stories

MIT AI Model Designs Novel Antibiotics for MRSA, Gonorrhoea

MIT AI Model Designs Novel Antibiotics for MRSA, Gonorrhoea

Authors

25

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Cell

Date first peer reviewed manuscript in Cell, Nature, or Science concludes SARS2 lab origin more likely than not (Set)

Jan 8, 2:26 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

216394

OptionProbability

Never or after 1/1/2030

1/1/2026-12/31/2026

1/1/2029-12/31/2029

1/1/2027-12/31/2027

1/1/2028-12/31/2028

Before 2026

68

8

8

7

7

0

Date first peer reviewed manuscript in Cell, Nature, or Science concludes SARS2 lab origin more likely than not

Jan 6, 1:02 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

394773

OptionProbability

Never or on/after 1/1/2029

1/1/2027 - 12/31/2028

1/1/2025 - 12/31/2026

Before 2025

69

26

4

1

Will a US presidential candidate promise a national ban on cell-cultivated, lab-grown meat before 2030?

May 23, 2:42 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

54.71%chance

351452

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1099

910

Will McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

Apr 5, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.89%chance

341434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2250

1738

Will McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2035?

Apr 2, 6:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.01%chance

481129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1468

813

Will McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2027?

Sep 1, 4:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.81%chance

131024

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1690

953

Will there be an FDA-approved age reversal treatment based on partial cell reprogramming by 2030?

Dec 22, 7:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.93%chance

19691

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1152

912

Will White Castle offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

Apr 5, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.19%chance

15635

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1234

878

Viable human eggs from human cells in a lab by 2030?

May 12, 5:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.22%chance

5207

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1205

830

Will White Castle offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2035?

Apr 2, 6:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.67%chance

12107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1043

968

Will Bryan Johnson test the functional age of his T cells/ hepatocytes via functional assays by 2028? (#NewLimit)

May 24, 10:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.36%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

954

Lightcell's system demonstrates higher power-to-weight ratio than PEM fuel cell system by 2028?

Jun 22, 8:18 PMDec 31, 9:17 PM

47.56%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

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